1st Edition

China's Leadership in the Twenty-First Century The Rise of the Fourth Generation

    312 Pages
    by Routledge

    312 Pages
    by Routledge

    Between Fall 2002 and Spring 2003, most of the national leadership of China's party, state, and military organs will be replaced by a new generation of officials. The accession to power of this "Fourth Generation" leadership, and the "Fifth Generation" officials who will rise to positions of influence on their coattails, will have profound implications for China, for nations in the region, and potentially for the national interests of the United States. This timely work introduces the new leaders of China and describes the political backdrop for their succession. A distinguished international group of scholars look at the process of leadership transition; the prospects and challenges facing the new leaders; questions of legitimacy and influence; flow of information on the transition within China; and security policies in the provinces and the Asia-Pacific region. They provide important insights on the leadership at "the center," in the provinces, and in the military.

    I. Introduction 1. The Rise of the Fourth Generation: Overview and Implications, David M. Finkelstein and Maryanne Kivlehan II. China's New Leaders 2. Poised to Take the Helm: Rising Stars and the Transition to the Fourth Generation, Cheng Li 3. Hu Jintao's Succession: Prospects and Challenges, Murray Scott Tanner 4. The Provinces: Training Ground for National Leaders or a Power in Their Own Right? Zhiyue Bo III. Institutions in Transition 5. Leading Small Groups: Managing All Under Heaven, Taeho Kim 6. The Role of Mishus in the Chinese Political System: Change and Continuity, James C. Mulvenon and Michael S. Chase 7. Where Do Correct Ideas Come From? The Party School, Key Think Tanks, and the Intellectuals, Joseph Fewsmith IV. Challenges to Governance and Reform 8. From the July 1st Speech to the 16th Party Congress: Ideology, Party Construction, and Leadership Transition, Wu Guoguang 9. Economics as the Central Task: Do Entrepreneurs Matter? Bruce J. Dickson 10. Social Dynamics and New Generation Politics, Carol Lee Hamrin 11. The Absent-Minded Reform of China's Media, Anne Stevenson-Yang V. The Generation After Next and Future Prospects for the CCP 12. The Generation After Next in Chinese Politics, Willy Wo-Lap Lam 13. Remaining Relevant: The Challenges for the Party in Late-Leninist China, David Shambaugh

    Biography

    David M. Finkelstein is the Director of Project Asia, The CNA Corporation's center for Asian security studies. A long-time student of Chinese affairs, he received his Ph.D. in Chinese history from Princeton University and studied Mandarin at Nankai University in Tianjin. He is widely published on PRC and Asian security issues. A retired U.S. Army Officer, Finkelstein is a graduate of the United States Military Academy, held various China-related positions in the Pentagon, and served on the faculty of the History Department at West Point where he taught courses on the history of China and Chinese military history. Maryanne Kivlehan is an Asia Security Analyst at the CNA Corporation's Project Asia. A specialist in Chinese politics, foreign policy, and China's new generation of leaders, she also recently published an in-depth study of the political, legal, economic, environmental, and security dimensions of the South China Sea. She holds an MA in Security Policy Studies from the Elliott School of Foreign Affairs at the George Washington University, and is a graduate of the Hopkins-Nanjing Center for Chinese and American Studies, as weIl Capital Normal University in Beijing, where she studied Mandarin. Before joining the CNA Corporation, she worked for an international nonprofit organization directing projects on Chinese, Mongolian, and Russian affairs. She also spent time in Bosnia working with the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OS CE) in support of the 1997 municipal elections.