1st Edition
Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications
Within the last fifty years the performance requirements for technical objects and systems were supplemented with: customer expectations (quality), abilities to prevent the loss of the object properties in operation time (reliability and maintainability), protection against the effects of undesirable events (safety and security) and the ability to restore performance (resilience). The need to adapt the operation of complex systems in such an uncertain and volatile environment has caused the necessity to formulate new and well established achievements associated with modeling, testing and evaluation of these properties. The concept of a complex system applies not only to the technical ones but also the infrastructure of major importance for social life such as transportation and logistics systems, buildings, power systems, water distribution systems or health services.
Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications contains the proceedings of the 24th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2014, Wroclaw, Poland, 14-18 September 2014), and discusses theories and methods and their applications in the areas of risk, safety and reliability. The abstracts book (408 pages) + full paper CD-ROM (2496 pages) will be of interest to researchers and practitioners, academics and engineers working in academic, industrial and governmental sectors.
Preface
Acknowledgements
Conference organization
Introduction
METHODOLOGY AREAS
Accident and incident investigation and modelling
Aeronautics and aerospace
An incident reporting support system for airline cabin crew
K. Furuta, K. Okano, T. Kanno, T. Mori & S. Shimizu
Chemical process industry
The effect of the environment conditions on the prediction of flammable cloud dispersion
A.M. Schleder, M.R. Martins, E. Pastor & E. Planas
Scenario identification in oil and gas industry: A case in the Middle East
Z. Rezvani, P. Swuste & P. Hudson
Civil engineering
Analysis of roadside safety barrier using numerical model
P. Hradil, J. Kala & V. Salajka
Critical infrastructure
Developing a framework for characterising cascading failures in past events to inform emergency response decisions
H. Hassel, A. Cedergren, L. Svegrup & J. Johansson
A critical evaluation of risk assessment methodology for natural gas pipeline
J. Kraus
An ontology-based approach to vulnerability and interdependency modelling for Critical Infrastructure systems
P. Trucco & B. Petrenj
Electrical engineering
Renewable sources impact on power system reliability and nuclear safety
A. Volkanovski & B. Gjorgiev
Maritime transportation
Titanic viewed from different perspectives on major accidents
H. Kim & S. Haugen
Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling of ship grounding
A. Mazaheri & J. Montewka
Winter navigation at the Baltic Sea: An analysis of accidents occurred during winters 2002–2003 & 2009–2013
O.A. Valdez Banda, F. Goerlandt, J. Montewka & P. Kujala
Rail transportation
Structuring contributors to successful operation
J. Vatn
Road transportation
Country Safety Performance Function and the factors affecting it
K. Jamroz
Method of dynamic identification of hazardous driver behaviour by traffic parameters detection
M. Sumiła & M. Siergiejczyk
Waterborne transportation
The method of risk management of accidental oil spills at sea
K. Łazuga & L. Gucma
Other reliability and safety areas
The impact of new technologies on the safety level of air traffic in Poland
K. Krzykowska & M. Siergiejczyk
Black swan accidents: Predicting and preventing the unpredictable
D.J. Winfield
Analytical methods in system safety and reliability
Aeronautics and aerospace
Studies of the jet engine control quality based on its response to the disturbance inflicted on the object, designated from its response to the set point inflicted to the controller
K. Golak, P. Lindstedt & R. Grądzki
The mathematical formula of safety of aircrafts
J. Lewitowicz, S. Rutkowski, R. Tomaska & A. Żyluk
The reliability analysis of the satellite’s driving system based on the IABCBLT method
W. Peng, J. Zhang & L.J. Kan
The effectiveness of the FMEA technology in the process of the aerospace product development
J. Shuyuan, L. Fuqiu, W. Jinjing & L. Meinan
Reliability modeling method of space mechanism considering dynamical cascading effects
C.L. Tan, J.G. Zhang, P. Wang & L.J. Kan
Chemical process industry
Comparative analysis of calculation methods of pressure drops for two-phase flow through pipelines
G. Boccardi, R. Trinchieri, R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta
Critical infrastructure
Empirical Bayes inference with nonlinear homogenizations and correlated intensity functions: Use in asset degradation modelling
G. Blair, J. Quigley & L. Walls
Dependence of the gas supply system criticality indicator(s) on the system elements’ reliability
B. Jokšas, I. Žutautaitė, J. Augutis & T. Rekašius
Comparing societal consequence measures of outages in electrical distribution systems
F. Landegren, J. Johansson & O. Samuelsson
On the resilience analysis of interconnected systems by a set-theoretic approach
X. Liu, I. Prodan & E. Zio
A brief note on the ratio of the rectilinear and shortest distance between two arbitrary points on the 3-sphere
M.A. Odijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder
A game-theoretical model to allocate security resources in a multi-modal transportation system facing adaptive adversaries
L. Talarico, K. Sörensen & G. Reniers
Electronic industry
Assessment of the critical events sequences of systems by means of probabilistic languages
D. Ionescu, N. Brînzei & J.F. Pétin
Energy production and distribution
RAM analysis applied to decommissioning phase: Comparison and assessment of different methods to predict future failures
E. Calixto & Y. Bot
Reliability indices computation for a flow network with a series-parallel-reducible structure
J. Malinowski
Information technology and telecommunication
Minimal cut sets and direct partial logic derivatives in reliability analysis
M. Kvassay, E. Zaitseva & V. Levashenko
On the probability of escaping a cell—in wireless networks
C. Tanguy
Maritime transportation
Reliability analysis of ship-rope transporter with dependent components
A. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki
Maritime traffic flow simulation in the Intelligent Transportation Systems theme
A. Blokus-Roszkowska & L. Smolarek
Modeling of event trees for the rapid scenario development
M.K. Gerigk
The influence of screw propellers manufacturing accuracy on conditions of the propulsion system operating
E. Skupień
Mechanical engineering
Contribution to oil data assessment for system condition determination
D. Vališ & L. Žák
Rail transportation
Dependability and safety analysis of ERTMS level 3 using analytic estimation
T. Babczyński & J. Magott
Streamlining architectures for integrated safety analysis using Design Structure Matrices (DSMs)
K. Höfig, J.Z. Guo & A. Kazeminia
The Markov reliability and safety model of the railway transportation system
F.J. Restel
Reliability analysis of rail teleinformation system
M. Siergiejczyk
Road transportation
Premises of evaluation of the technical object suitability with including the quality of its maintenance and operation, and their initial conditions
R. Grądzki, P. Lindstedt & K. Golak
Bivariate reliability analysis of driving profiles in automobile fleets
T. Köttermann, M. Grabert, S. Kempe & S. Bracke
Attempt to apply the theory of reliability to assessment of signalised lane operation
K. Ostrowski
Reliability-exploitation analysis of power supply in transport telematics system
A. Rosiński
Reliability-maintenance analysis of highway emergency communication systems
M. Siergiejczyk, J. Chmiel & A. Rosiński
Hierarchical random models in road transport safety
J. Wachnicka, K. Jamroz & L. Smolarek
Other reliability and safety areas
Overall regional risk analysis of four Norwegian municipalities
R. Flage, Ø. Amundrud & H.S. Wiencke
Modeling reliability of complex port transportation system
K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny
Reliability optimization of complex port transportation system
K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny
Involvement of expert judgement in dynamic model
R. Krikštolaitis, A.E. Lutynska, S. Pečiulytė & I. Žutautaitė
Anthropo-technical systems reliability
D. Laskowski, P. Łubkowski, E. Pawlak & P. Stańczyk
Cost-benefit analysis of surveillance technologies
P.-H. Lin & C. van Gulijk
Integrated estimation of pipeline failure probability
I. Žutautaitė, G. Dundulis, S. Rimkevičius & R. Janulionis
Reliability and safety management
Aeronautics and aerospace
Reliability engineering interactions in aerospace products
E.N. Çetin & A.Ş. Temiz
An influence of the lifetime assessment in aviation technology
K. Kustroń & J. Lewitowicz
Chemical process industry
How managers should think about risk—a case study from the oil and gas industry
T. Bjerga & T. Aven
Balancing safety and performance through QRA and RAM analyses
V. Borges & C. Hickey
Public risk perception towards chemical process industry: Comprehension and response planning
D. Botheju & K. Abeysinghe
Risk assessment system for verifying the safety guards system based on the HAZOP analysis information
A. Nakai, K. Isshiki & K. Suzuki
Development of the Safety Requirements Specification (SRS) in oil and gas industry
E.H. Park, K.P. Chang & S.T. Kim
Civil engineering
Development of functional safety standards for civil engineering
E. Nachtigall & V. Shcherbina
Mechanism design for risk allocation and benefit sharing in the development of a Geological Disposal Facility for nuclear radioactive waste
O. Nieto-Cerezo, E. Patelli, J. Wenzelburger & M. Beer
Optimization of the drinking water coagulation and filtration system as a result of reliability analysis and Life Cycle Costing
J. Szymik-Gralewska & I. Zimoch
Critical infrastructure
Methods of visualizing the risk of lack of water supply
I. Piegdoń & B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak
Electrical engineering
Concept for development of safety-related filters
O. Krini, J. Krini & J. Börcsök
Energy production and distribution
Heat Supply System reliability management
B. Babiarz
Uncertainty in the regulation systems of temporary organizations: A challenge for improving the organizational reliability
F. Mazzorana-Kremer, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo
Solutions and safety barriers: The holistic approach to risk-reducing measures
A. Sevcik & O.T. Gudmestad
A multi-criteria decision model to mitigate the operational risks of offshore wind infrastructures
M. Shafiee & A. Kolios
Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems
Evaluation of operational reliability of the supply chain in terms of the control and management of logistics processes
I. Jacyna-Gołda
Effectiveness of national transport system according to costs of emission of pollutants
M. Jacyna, K. Lewczuk, E. Szczepański, P. Gołębiowski, R. Jachimowski, M. Kłodawski, D. Pyza, O. Sivets, M. Wasiak, J. Żak & I. Jacyna-Gołda
Experiments for PHM: Needs, developments and challenges
X.-Y. Li, L. Liu, R. Kang, D. Xu, F. Sun & J. Lee
Maritime transportation
Effects of external audits on safety management systems: A case study of the Norwegian-managed maritime industry
J.F. Aae, A.K. Sydnes & C. Heggøy
Review of acceptable risk levels of bridge collapse in respect of ships collisions
L. Gucma
A new approach for evaluating the disruption risks of a seaport system
A. John, R. Riahi, D. Paraskevadakis, A. Bury, Z. Yang & J. Wang
Methodology for evaluation of barriers for rig move operations
E. Okstad, S. Hauge, B.A. Mostue & H. Skår
Natural resources and environment
Performance of skimmers in the Arctic offshore oil spills
M. Naseri & J. Barabady
Nuclear engineering
Rethinking nuclear safety management: Injunction as a meta-concept
S. Agulhon, D. Pécaud & F. Guarnieri
Using IRIDM & VTA to support the risk management of the research reactor Maria
M. Borysiewicz, K. Kowal & S. Potempski
Evaluation of risk impact of equipment ageing and asset management for LWR Gen II and III NPPs in the horizon 2020
S. Martorell, I. Martón, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez
Rail transportation
Safety of the new control command European System
M. Siergiejczyk, M. Pawlik & S. Gago
Software systems
All swept up: An initial classification of NSA surveillance technology
M. Cayford, C. van Gulijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder
Study of the security of processes running in computer operating systems
I.J. Jóźwiak & A. Szleszyński
Control-in-the-loop Model Based Safety Analysis
P.-Y. Piriou, J.-M. Faure & J.-J. Lesage
Developing a shared information surface for offshore work permits
S. Sarshar, G. Rindahl, C.S. Olsen, J.M. Røsok, M. Eskerud, O.G. Nedrebø, P.J. Berg & G. Misund
Other reliability and safety areas
Graphical technique for practical dependability management
L. Barberá, A. Crespo, K. Kobbacy & P. Viveros
A discussion of the risk-management and the rule-compliance regulation regimes in a security context
S.H. Jore & A. Moen
Risk management in anchor-handling operations: The balance between control and autonomy
J. Røyrvik, K. Skarholt, G.M. Lamvik & J.R. Jonassen
Safety and environmental control of industrial activities in France: A negotiated relationship
V. Sanseverino-Godfrin
Risk assessment methods for improving urban security
C. Schoppe, J. Zehetner, J. Finger, D. Baumann, U. Siebold & I. Häring
Abstract representation of power system networks as a function of regularity properties
A.B. Svendsen, T. Tollefsen, R.F. Pedersen, K.P. Petursson, D. Patel & O.D. Lampe
Drinking water quality aspect in ensuring the safety of water supply systems
I. Zimoch, E. Łobos & T. Żaba
Dynamic reliability
Aeronautics and aerospace
Using dynamic risk modelling in Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research (SESAR)
N. Fota, M.H.C. Everdij, S.H. Stroeve, T. Kråkenes, I. Herrera, J. Quiñones, T. Contarino & A. Manzo
Civil engineering
Modification of response spectra by probabilistic approach
V. Salajka, J. Kala, Z. Cada & P. Hradil
Maritime transportation
Dynamic Positioning systems with emphasis on harsh climate conditions
T. Li, O.T. Gudmestad & A. Barabadi
Mechanical engineering
Wear time-dependent reliability analysis using Bayesian inference
J. Feng, J. Zhang, J. Si & P. Wang
Nuclear Engineering
RAVEN and dynamic probabilistic risk assessment: Software overview
A. Alfonsi, C. Rabiti, D. Mandelli, J. Cogliati, R. Kinoshita & A. Naviglio
Integrated Deterministic Probabilistic Safety Analysis (IDPSA) of a fire scenario
M. Kloos, J. Peschke & B. Forell
Dynamic reliability models for multiple dependent competing degradation processes
Y.H. Lin, Y.F. Li & E. Zio
Expert methods in system safety and reliability
Aeronautics and Aerospace
Development of a new algorithm for optimal multi-level redundancy allocation
M.A. Farsi
Aircraft crew escape system assistant
N. Grzesik & R. Czapla
A fuzzy system for evaluation of baggage screening devices at an airport
J. Skorupski & P. Uchroński
Energy production and distribution
Quantification and modelling of epistemic uncertainties for availability risk of future offshore wind farms using expert judgment
A. Zitrou, T. Bedford & L. Walls
Maritime transportation
Expert method and real time simulation in navigational safety analysis
T. Abramowicz-Gerigk
Mechanical engineering
Causal modeling in industrial Reliability and Maintenance Management
Y. Pang & G. Lodewijks
Other reliability and safety areas
The application of risk and reliability techniques to acquire knowledge in the development of expert system for fault diagnosis
E.M.P. Hidalgo & G.F.M. de Souza
Failure identification and degradation processes
Aeronautics and aerospace
Life and reliability evaluation of tuner by Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Testing method
F. Sun, X. Li & T. Jiang
Estimation of lifetimes of components that operate under ageing-attributable wearing conditions
H. Tomaszek, M. Zieja & M. Ważny
A Physics-of-Failure-based approach for failure behavior modeling: With a focus on failure collaborations
Z. Zeng, R. Kang & Y. Chen
Electrical engineering
Fault diagnosis method for circuit board based on BP neural networks
Y. Peng & J. Shi
Electronic industry
Physics of Failures (POF) version B for MTBF prediction
Y. Bot & J.B. Bernstein
An adaptive fault detection threshold hardware circuit design to reduce False Alarms
Y. Cui, J. Shi, L. Chen, K. Liu & W. An
Energy production and distribution
MUSTADEPT: A tool for the analysis of industrial equipment degradation
M. Compare, L. Legnani & E. Zio
Information technology and telecommunication
Provision of the reliable video surveillance services in heterogeneous networks
P. Łubkowski, D. Laskowski & E. Pawlak
Maritime transportation
Identification of degradation processes of seabed protection in ports
T. Abramowicz-Gerigk
Mechanical engineering
The use of Self-Organizing Maps for diagnosing faults in motor bearings
S. Al-Dahidi
Selected safety aspects of polymer composites with natural fibres
A. Krzyżak & D. Vališ
Application of selected diffusion processes on system state assessment
D. Vališ & O. Pokora
Nuclear engineering
A modified Auto Associative Kernel Regression method for robust signal reconstruction in Nuclear Power Plant components
P. Baraldi, F. Di Maio, P. Turati & E. Zio
Experimental design for the evaluation of Critical Heat Flux of small-scale pressurized nuclear reactors
J.P. Duarte, J.R.C. Piqueira & M.E. Taqueda
Road transportation
The stochastic approach in road network vulnerability analysis
M. Bíl & R. Vodák
Analysis of brake testing methods in vehicle safety
A. Bojko, A.I. Fedotov, W.P. Khalezov & M. Młyńczak
Hilbert-Huang Transforms for fault detection and degradation assessment in electrical motors
M. Rigamonti & S. Rantala
Other reliability and safety areas
Volatility regime switching and jump-diffusion process for prognosis: Case of equity price modeling
H. Ghamlouch, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall
Performance evaluation of Emergency Response Plans using a Multi-State System approach
C. Girard, E. Piatyszek, P. David & J.-M. Flaus
Human factors and human reliability
Aeronautics and aerospace
The model of a pilot competency as a factor influencing the safety of air traffic
J. Skorupski & M. Wiktorowski
Human Dependability Model for space application—the HuDeM project
T.M. Stene, S.O. Johnsen & S. Ophof
Towards safer air traffic: Optimizing ATC controller workload by simulation with reduced set of parameters
B. Számel & G. Szabó
Human reliability test and identification of HCR model basic parameters for multi-factor “Meta-Operation”
Y. Yang, X. Chen, J. Zhang & R. Kang
Chemical process industry
Statistical analysis of past accidents and a methodology (MEDIA) for Human and Organizational Factors assessment in process industries
M. Ahmad, M. Pontiggia & M. Demichela
Predictive Human Error Analysis in Permit To Work system in a petrochemical plant
M. Jahangiri, F. Zare Derisi & N. Hobobi
Critical infrastructure
Anticipating impacts of change on individual behaviors within a perspective of safety management
T. Côte, E. Rigaud & E. Garbolino
Modeling and assessment of Performance Shaping Factors in construction
Y. Xenidis & K. Giannaris
Energy production and distribution
The impact of the use of subcontracting on organizational reliability and safety
C. Guers, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo
Human error analysis: Review of past accidents and implications for improving robustness of system design
R. Moura, M. Beer, E. Patelli, J. Lewis & F. Knoll
Operational and organizational barriers as means of enhancing safety and learning
T.J. Steiro, E. Hansson Blix, J. Seljelid, T.S. Johansen, R.J. Bye,
H.N. Hansen & A. Doumit
Natural resources and environment
Presumptions of culture: Applications and safety implications
F. Størseth
Nuclear engineering
Coding scheme to measure the operator’s workload in advanced Main Control Room
S. Kim, Y. Kim & W. Jung
A survey of Bayesian Belief Network Applications in Human Reliability Analysis
L. Mkrtchyan, L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang
Aggregating expert-elicited error probabilities to build HRA models
L. Podofillini, L. Mkrtchyan & V.N. Dang
Other reliability and safety areas
Organizational factor inclusion in Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) tools
N. Balfe & S. Cromie
Design methods of reducing human error in practice
M. Butlewski, M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek, A. Misztal & M. Sławińska
Maintenance modelling and optimisation
Chemical process industry
A hierarchical framework for the measurement of maintenance efficacy and efficiency using performance indicators
G.M. Galante, R. Inghilleri & C.M. La Fata
Civil engineering
State of the art in Operation and Maintenance planning of offshore wind farms
M. Asgarpour & J.D. Sørensen
Critical infrastructure
Maintenance of power systems considering time-dependent uncertainty
T. Iesmantas & R. Alzbutas
Energy production and distribution
Decision-making support for maintenance optimisation of natural gas compressor stations
J. Blondel, L. Marle, O. Mozar, A. Abdesselam & F. Brissaud
Optimization of maintenance and operational policies of an offshore wind farm subject to stochastic wind conditions
B. Castanier, C. Pehlivan & T.G. Yeung
An age-based preventive maintenance for offshore wind turbines
F.P. Santos, A.P. Teixeira & C. Guedes Soares
Availability modelling and analysis of an offshore wind turbine using Extended Coloured Stochastic Petri Nets
P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche
Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems
Maintenance in availability of weapon systems under combat operation—optimization possibilities
T. Smal
Maritime transportation
Optimum CTV fleet selection for offshore wind farm O&M activities
Y. Dalgic, I. Dinwoodie, I. Lazakis, D. McMillan & M. Revie
Mechanical engineering
Practical aspects of the application of RCM to select optimal maintenance policy of the production line
M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek
Hidden Markov Models for diagnostics and prognostics of systems under multiple deterioration modes
T.T. Le, F. Chatelain & C. Bérenguer
Nuclear engineering
Application of the Maintenance Rule to Nuclear Power Plant systems through Bayesian Networks
D.P. Dionizio, P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo
Experience on risk-informed approach to Allowed Outage Time changes due planned maintenance
P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo
Rail transportation
Expert system for means of transport maintenance processes performance. A comparative analysis for various types of rail vehicles
T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska
A Colored Petri Net model for railway track maintenance with two-level inspection
H. Shang & C. Bérenguer
Analysis of the process of unloading containers at the inland container terminal
M. Zając & J. Świeboda
Return logistics/waste management
Reliability based model of the cost effective product reusing policy
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & M. Plewa
Other reliability and safety areas
Asset maintenance optimization: The case-study of an offshore wind farm
Y. Bot & D. Azoulay
Maintenance planning for drum shearer machine based on its reliability characteristics and economical sensitivity analysis
S.H. Hoseinie, B. Ghodrati & U. Kumar
A guide for Block Inspection Policy implementation
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska
Availability model of technical objects—block inspection policy implementation
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska
Condition-based maintenance policies for multi-component systems with Lévy copulas dependence
H. Li, L. Dieulle & E. Deloux
Application of standards in reliability prognosis of braking system of moving walks
E. Rogova, G. Lodewijks & Y. Pang
Occupational safety
Electrical engineering
A Bayesian population variability analysis for estimation of the work time loss distributions due to occupational accidents
M.C. Moura, R. Azevedo, E.L. Droguett, L. Rego, W. Jorge & R. Vilela
Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems
Continuous monitoring of at-risk behaviours: A risk-based statistical control method
D. Masi & P. Trucco
Enhancing the implementation of Occupational Health and Safety interventions through a design of the socio-technical interaction
D. Masi, E. Cagno, P. Hasle & S. Farnè
Return logistics/waste management
A risk-based approach to manage the Occupational Hazards in the Arctic drilling waste handling practices
Y.Z. Ayele, A. Barabadi & J. Barabady
Other reliability and safety areas
Estimating individual occupational risk using registration data
P.H.G. Berkhout & M. Damen
Quantification of risk rates of occupational accidents
I.A. Papazoglou, O. Aneziris, L.J. Bellamy, M. Damen, B.J.M. Ale, H.J. Manuel & J.I.H. Oh
Quantitative risk assessment
Aeronautics and aerospace
Reliability assessment method for Ion thruster based on competing failure analysis and performance degradation data Z. Zheng, S. Dong, L. Zhang, D. Xu, H. Tian & T. Zhang
Chemical process industry
Comparison of risk profiles for chemical process plants using PLATYPUS
C. van Gulijk, B.J.M. Ale, D. Ababei & M. Steenhoek
The use of the combination of indexing and semi-quantitative methods in audits for individual risk assessment in the field of fire and explosion protection
A. Leksin, U. Barth, D. Adeulov & R. Mock
Estimation of the impact probability of fragments produced by explosions of vessels: A case study
M.F. Milazzo, R. Lisi, G. Consolo & G. Maschio
Dynamic risk assessment: Development of a basic structure
N. Paltrinieri & P. Hokstad
Joint applicability test of software for laboratory assessment and risk analysis
D.N. Pluess, Th. Meyer, J. Mašin, P. Mikulášek & M. Ferjenčik
Is a QRA-based method suitable to guide Land Use Planning decisions in India?
A. Sengupta, D. Bandyopadhyay, C.J. van Westen & A. van der Veen
Civil engineering
The effect of maintenance on inflation correction in Dutch PPP projects
D.S. Vervoort
Handling dependencies in Probabilistic Risk Assessments using Evidential Networks
D. Wang, Z.J. Cheng, P. Jiang & B. Guo
Critical infrastructure
The use of geoevents in the risk management of Wastewater Treatments
G. Ancione, M.F. Milazzo & G. Maschio
Utilizing knowledge-to-number-processes in smaller and less resource intensive
risk assessments
T. Askeland & R. Flage
Risk assessment of ground water sources for emergency supply
F. Bozek, L. Jesonkova, A. Pawelczyk, Z. Malek & J. Dvorak
Study of volcanic Na-Tech risks in primary Waste Water Treatments
M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, E. Salzano & G. Maschio
Optimum concept of management and trade-off with risks
D. Prochazkova
Possibilistic risk analysis of failure in water supply network
B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak, K. Boryczko & I. Piegdoń
Electrical engineering
Multidimensional risk to networks of distributed systems
T.V. Garcez & A.T. de Almeida
Mathematics of PRA applied to Distributed Generation curtailment in saturated grids
P.E. Labeau, F. Faghihi, J.C. Maun, V. De Wilde & A. Vergnol
Energy production and distribution
Priorities assignment for actions in a pipeline: A decision model to evaluate multiple objectives
M.H. Alencar, M.F. Marsaro & A.T. de Almeida
Risk assessment in heat supply system
B. Babiarz
Vulnerability of Energy Infrastructure to intentional attacks—the interplay of resource, conflict and security
P. Burgherr, J. Giroux & M. Spada
Solar storm impact on critical infrastructure
O. Sokolova, P. Burgherr & W. Collenberg
Accident risk assessment for deep geothermal energy systems
M. Spada, E. Sutra, S. Wolf & P. Burgherr
Information technology and telecommunication
Enhancement of IT Risk Assessments by UML
R. Mock, B. Truninger, P. Brunner & T. Hruz
Maritime transportation
Quantitative risk assessment of new ship designs in damage conditions
M.K. Gerigk
Review of risk concepts and perspectives in risk assessment of maritime transportation
F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka
Risk based assessment on increased gas safe machinery spaces of liquefied natural gas fuelled ship
X.J. Li & R.P. Zhou
Semi-qualitative method for ship collision risk assessment
W. Zhang, J. Montewka & F. Goerlandt
Mechanical engineering
RAPP method: Failure analysis and risk determination in automobile fleets within the case study electric actuator
S. Bracke & S. Sochacki
Natural resources and environment
Composite methodology for tsunami vulnerability assessment based on the numerical simulation of 1755 Lisbon tsunami—application on two Portuguese coastal areas
J.L. Barros, A. Emídio, A. Santos & A.O. Tavares
Monte Carlo simulation and Bayesian Evidence Synthesis
U. Sahlin & Y. Jiang
Nuclear engineering
Amendments of the existing guidance on PSA application to nuclear power plants in Germany
H.P. Berg, M. Krauß & M. Röwekamp
Focus areas for a Level 2 PSA that supports a site NPP risk analysis
D.M. Helton, M. Zavisca & M. Khatib-Rahbar
A PSA Level-1 method with repairable components: An application to ASTRID Decay Heat Removal systems
R. Kumar, S. Bechta, P. Kudinov, F. Curnier, M. Marquès & F. Bertrand
Effect of human factor in the analysis of changes to Limiting Conditions for Operation (LCO) applied to Residual Heat Removal System
S. Martorell, I. Martón, P. Martorell & M. Saiz
Application of PSA for design optimization of VVER 440/213
P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, J. Cech, P. Baumeister & J. Prochaska
Rail transportation
Deriving a distribution for accident severity from an F-N curve
J. Braband & H. Schäbe
Geospatial modelling of rail safety hazards
D.J.K. Griffin
Comparing the two methods for judging changes in European railways and in European nuclear safety
N. Petrek & H.P. Berg
Road transportation
Combination of technological and economical risk assessment using the Monte-Carlo-Simulation
F. Plinke, D. Althaus, A. Braasch & A. Meyna
The results of a systematic study of the risks associated with the transportation of hazardous substances
D. Prochazkova, J. Prochazka & H. Patakova
Preference risk assessment of hazardous substances road transportation
D. Rehak, A. Bernatik & P. Novotny
Other reliability and safety areas
Quantifying MSD risks through Job Hazard Analysis
L. Dement
Handling epistemic uncertainty in the Fault Tree Analysis using interval-valued expert information
M. Francese, G.M. Galante, C.M. La Fata & G. Passannanti
Expressing and communicating uncertainty and bias in relation to Quantitative Risk Analysis
F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka
Safety analysis and CFD dispersion simulation of cryogenic release in a deep underground large scale cryogenic installation
E.C. Marcoulaki, A.G. Venetsanos, M. Konstandinidou & I.A. Papazoglou
Reliability and safety based system design
Aeronautics and aerospace
European survey on safety methods application in aeronautic systems engineering
A. Berres, H. Schumann & H. Spangenberg
Semi-formal static and dynamic modeling and categorization of airport checkpoints
P. Renger, U. Siebold, R. Kaufmann & I. Häring
Chemical process industry
Achieving safe designs through evaluation of options at the conceptual level of safety system design
E. Alijagic & V.N. Dang
Civil engineering
Conventional correlation factors in the safety analysis of stochastic systems
O. Lukoševičienė & A. Kudzys
Safety-based approach in multifunctional building design
A. Taraszkiewicz & M.K. Gerigk
Electrical engineering
Management of controls of fire protection systems in Switzerland
E. Nachtigall & S. Metzger
Electronic components with time-dependent failure rates—reasons, values and consequences
P. Zeiler, O. Koller & B. Bertsche
Electronic industry
Availability and reliability evaluation of systems periodically maintained
N. Hu, J. Huang, Ch. Yang, Y. Zheng & O. Dong
Maritime transportation
Reliability and safety based design of lifesaving appliances systems
Z. Burciu
Nuclear engineering
Nuclear power plant safety improvement with new system for safety injection
B. Gjorgiev & A. Volkanovski
Rail transportation
A systematic approach for defense against transient failures
H. Schäbe & I. Shubinski
Reliability allocation for a system with complex redundancy
Z. Vintr & T. Vintr
Other reliability and safety areas
Effective searching process used in obtaining Pareto solutions of two-objective network design problem
N. Takahashi, H. Yamamoto, T. Akiba & K. Shingyochi
Reliability and safety data collection and analysis
Aeronautics and aerospace
SYMBAD—Artificial Neural Networks in furtherance of managing aircraft testing
W. Kosiński, J. Wójcik & M. Zieja
Accelerated Life Test method for satellite electronic instrument
D. Shu, Z. Liang, Z. Zhiteng & M. Haibo
Reliability of the airlines operations system
A. Słodownik & J. Żurek
Quantitative evaluation on storage reliability of pyrotechnics based on thermodynamic characteristic of dynamite and performance degradation data
Z. Wan, W. Hang & C. Hai Long
Agriculture and food industry
Telematics used in the campaigns machinery safety management systems
J. Napiórkowski, P. Szczyglak & K. Kołakowski
Chemical process industry
Collection and analysis of failure data for pressure equipment
P.A. Bragatto, S. Ansaldi, C. Delle Site & P. Agnello
Reliability analysis of prototypes based on small and heterogeneous test data volumes. Case study: Organic fibre prototype analysis
A. Lücker, M. Hinz, S. Bracke & G. Knübel
How to present and understand uncertainty of production assurance analyses
with respect to data quality
C. Persskog-Lundtofte, S. Isaksen & L.M. Pedersen
Critical infrastructure
Universal method of battery life prediction
Y. Hanyu, T. Yamamoto, T. Ezawa & A. Itakura
Electronic industry
Reliability prediction of electronic boards by analyzing field return data
S.V. Comert, H. Yadavari, M. Altun & E.N. Erturk
Energy production and distribution
A double-loop Monte Carlo approach for Part Life Data Base reconstruction and scheduled maintenance improvement
F. Di Maio, M. Compare, S. Mattafirri & E. Zio
Using field experience in the treatment of Common Cause Failures in reliability assessment
S. Hauge, S. Håbrekke & M.A. Lundteigen
A geometric test for the analysis of contingency tables
J. Quigley & K.J. Wilson
Assessment of a remaining working life of energetic devices using service data
M. Sykora, M. Holicky, J. Marková & K. Presl
Information technology and telecommunication
Model for Information Quality determination of teleinformation systems of transport
M. Stawowy
Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems
A framework proposal to analyse the performance of assets under complex system
T. Grubessich, E. Johns, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier & F. Kristjanpoller
Proven in use in the machine tool industry for demonstrating the quantitative functional safety according to EN ISO 13849-1
B. Günnel, A. Meyna, M. Schlummer, H. Mödden & A. Broos
Mechanical engineering
Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 1: Risk profiling and farmer matrix
A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden
Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 2: Theoretical and practical design
A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden
Research on reliability qualification test design by considering inheritance factor
Y. Wang, D. Xu & L. Liu
Optimal design on Accelerated Degradation Testing with Gamma process for reliability demonstration
C. Zhang, X. Lu, X. Chen & Y. Wang
Road transportation
One producer, two brands: A comparison of car operating conditions
M. Jadwinska, T. Siekierka & M. Zając
Waterborne transportation
Ship voyage characteristics in Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway
Y.-P. Zhou, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu
Other reliability and safety areas
Fleet-level reliability estimation of repairable units
A.H.S. Garmabaki, A. Ahmadi & J. Block
Reliability and safety education and training
Nuclear engineering
Learning from failures: The case of Deepwater Horizon disaster
A.W. Labib
The representation of nuclear power in cinema: The contribution of a filmic analysis to understanding the public debate
A. Portelli, C. Martin & F. Guarnieri
Road transportation
On designing educational aids for users’ safety in road tunnels
K. Chatzoglou, E. Rokou, I.P. Tatsiopoulos & K. Kirytopoulos
Other reliability and safety areas
Public buildings safety: Addressing a pilot evacuation exercise
A. Santos & M. Queirós
Simulation methods in system safety and reliability
Aeronautics and aerospace
A safety analysis via minimal path sets detection for object-oriented models
C. Schallert
The use of on-board flight recorder in the modeling process of aircraft landing operations
P. Stańczyk & A. Stelmach
Reliability analysis for Runway Overrun using subset simulation
K. Zwirglmaier, L. Drees, F. Holzapfel & D. Straub
Chemical process industry
A meta model framework for risk analysis, diagnosis and simulation
H. Kanj & J.-M. Flaus
Critical infrastructure
Proposing a multi-layer modeling framework for complex infrastructure systems
C. Nan & G. Sansavini
Hybrid modeling and simulation approach selection to the reliability and vulnerability analysis of Critical Infrastructures
G. Sansavini, C. Nan & W. Kröger
Energy production and distribution
Time dependent gas transmission network probabilistic simulator: Focus on storage discharge modeling
V. Kopustinskas & P. Praks
Information technology and telecommunication
Weekly availability changes of web applications implemented in virtualized environment
T. Walkowiak
Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems
Dynamic approach to modeling MTBF/MTTR in industrial and logistics systems
P. Hoffa & P. Pawlewski
Maritime transportation
A new Monte Carlo method for environmental contour estimation
A.B. Huseby, E. Vanem & B. Natvig
On multistate technical system operation process influence on its reliability
K. Kołowrocki, E. Kuligowska & J. Soszyńska-Budny
Mechanical engineering
Uncertainty improving in importance sampling: An integrated approach with fuzzy-cluster sampling
M. Nadjafi, M.A. Farsi & A. Najafi
Medicine and health service
Conversion of a based risk model into a simulation model for simulation and analysis
K. Negrichi, J.-M. Flaus & M. Di Mascolo
Nuclear engineering
Common cause failures modelling by means of Coloured Petri Nets for dependability assessment of a control system of nuclear power plant
N. Brînzei, G. Deleuze, N. Villaume & J.F. Pétin
Propagation of aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in quantification of systems failure probabilities or safety margins
M. Marquès
Road transportation
Safe level of redundancy in Discrete Transportation Systems
D. Caban & T. Walkowiak
Using Petri-Net analysis for advanced reliability analysis of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells
M. Whiteley, J. Leigh, A. Fly, L.M. Jackson & S.J. Dunnett
Waterborne transportation
Analysis of ship navigation behaviors in the Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway
X. Chen, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu
Other reliability and safety areas
A novel methodology for availability assessment of complex load sharing systems
F. Kristjanpoller, P. Viveros, A. Crespo, R. Mena & R. Stegmaier
Structural reliability and safety
Aeronautics and aerospace
Life distribution and P-S-N curve analysis of TC21 titanium alloy joint with Electron Beam Welding in ultra-high cycle fatigue regime
Z. Zhiteng, D. Shu, Z. Liang & X. Danjun
Civil engineering
Optimal design of ground-mounted solar systems
R. Boccara, D. Diamantidis & M. Sykora
Approximate quantification of the robustness index of concrete beams subjected to deterioration
W. Botte, R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe
A condition-based deterioration model for the crack propagation in a submerged concrete structure
B. El Hajj, F. Schoefs, B. Castanier & T. Yeung
Reliability assessment of cast-iron heritage structures
J. Marková, M. Holicky, K. Jung, A. Podstawka & V. Bures
Reliability of structures in national codes to Eurocodes
J. Marková & M. Holicky
On climatic actions combinations for probabilistic calibrations
Z. Sadovský
In-plane buckling behaviors of shear-deformable columns with variable cross sections
L. Su & M.M. Attard
Lateral buckling of varying arbitrary cross-section beams with shear effects
L. Su & M.M. Attard
Methodology for the quantitative risk assessment of road bridges exposed to accidental events
M. Sykora, M. Holicky & P. Maňas
Point estimate of dynamic reliability considering parameter uncertainties
Y.G. Zhao & Z.H. Lu
Critical infrastructure
The reliability analysis of welded tanks for oil storage
Z. Kala
Mechanical engineering
Determination of design load for a pile-guide system for large floating installations considering Life-Cycle Cost and probabilistic load distribution
S.-Y. Lee, C. Jo, P. Bergan, D. Chang & B. Pettersen
Road transportation
Analysis of reliability and retaining levels of safety barriers
K. Jung & J. Marková
Other reliability and safety areas
Safe reliability assessment through probabilistic constraint reasoning
E. Carvalho, J. Cruz & P. Barahona
Structural reliability for containment of VVER 440/213 type
J. Králik, P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, N. Zaccari & P. Baumeister
Reliability updating based on monitoring of structural response parameters
B.J. Leira
Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis
Chemical process industry
Comparative analysis of rapid calculation methods for physical explosions of pressure vessels
R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta
A study of determination of the design accidental fire load based on the quantitative
Fire Risk Assessment with the treatment of uncertainty
B. Chu & D. Chang
Civil engineering
Sobol’s sensitivity analysis of stability problems of steel beams
Z. Kala & J. Kala
Energy production and distribution
Quantitative vs. qualitative treatment of uncertain assumptions in risk assessment
C. Berner & R. Flage
Information technology and telecommunication
Comparison of uncertainty models of impact of teleinformation devices reliability on information quality
M. Stawowy
Nuclear engineering
Sensitivity analysis of geological parameters having impact on nuclear waste deep geological repository safety
J. Chudoba
Processes reliability and safety modelling
Aeronautics and Aerospace
An impact of the operators and passengers behavior on the airport’s security screening reliability
A. Kierzkowski & T. Kisiel
Risk analysis of the point on aging aircraft structure
M. Woch
Chemical process industry
Risk assessment of a bulk cryogenic tank: Beyond the Leak-Before-Break criterion
M. Compare, L. Legnani, M. Buldrini, G. Sansavini, E. Zio & L. Beretta
Civil engineering
Modeling of a degradation path set with a Gamma process mixture—application to a maintenance decision rule
E. Grall-Maës, A. Grall & P. Beauseroy
Reliability of the delivery in the last 100 meters
K. Lewandowski
Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems
Risk analytics within high-precision dental tool manufacturing: Multidimensional failure probabilities and validation
S. Bracke & M. Pospiech
A unified model of systems dependability and process continuity for complex supply chains
L.A. Bukowski & J. Feliks
Using quantitative stochastic model checking tool to increase safety and improve efficiency in production processes
L. Herbert, Z.N.L. Hansen & P. Jacobsen
Research on information system and its impact on distribution process of supply chain
E. Pawlak
Availability and reliability of resources in an agile manufacturing systems
A. Stachowiak
Rail transportation
Initial FMEA analysis of the container transport chain
M. Zając & J. Świeboda
Other reliability and safety areas
On prudent activities in a complex system
I. Årstad & T. Aven
Parallel computing for system availability and applications
R. Briš & S. Domesová
Author index
Biography
Nowakowski, Tomasz ; Mlynczak, Marek ; Jodejko-Pietruczuk, Anna ; Werbinska-Wojciechowska, Sylwia