Public misperception of radiological risk consistently directs limited resources toward managing minimal or even phantom risks at great cost to government and industry with no measurable benefit to overall public health. The public’s inability to comprehend small theoretical risks arrived at through inherently uncertain formulae, coupled with an irrational push to eliminate all risk with no contextual understanding of overall benefit, results in a forfeiture of valuable advances in technology in favor of an illusion of safety.
Radiation Risks in Perspective uses general concepts underlying radiological risk as a model to illuminate the fundamental problems in public perception, reaction, and policy when faced with possible health risks. Presenting three distinct themes, the author summarizes the causes for the failure of the current system and proposes methods for correction. Beginning with a discussion of the methods used to measure threat, the author weighs the nebulous assessment of risk with the use of a quantifiable assessment of hazardous dose, which uses actual numbers that the public can readily understand and that decision makers can confidently use to enact policy and measure success.
Secondly, the author addresses the contextual balancing of cost versus benefit when prioritizing expenditure, specifically emphasizing that it is inappropriate to analyze and discuss individual risks without regard to the presence of other risks. Finally, the author analyzes the public’s tendency to push toward zero risk tolerance, an extremist approach that leads to unreasonable restrictions on technologies, excessive regulatory compliance costs, and the ultimate loss of goods and services.
With detailed explanations and illustrative case studies, Radiation Risks in Perspective offers scientists, lawyers, engineers, policy makers, and public health professionals, the skills they need for a rational evaluation of risk.
Table of Contents
More than a Number
Safety without Risk?
Is It Dangerous?
Can I Get Exposed?
Can It Hurt Me?
What Are the Risks?
Perception Is Reality
Making the Right Choice
Predictive Theories in Risk Assessment
Linear No-Threshold Theory
Limitations and Uncertainties
Speculation versus Reality
Risk Management and Risk Communication
Quantifying Risk at Small Doses
No Safe Dose
LNT: The Theory of Choice
The LNT Controversy
Elements of the Debate
The Question of Thresholds
Repair of Radiation Damage and Cellular Autonomy
Uses and Misuses of LNT
Case 1: Estimation of Health Effects of Fallout from the
Chernobyl Reactor Accident
Case 2: Childhood Cancer Following Diagnostic X-ray
Case 3: Public Health Impacts from Radiation in a Modern Pit Facility
How Low Can You Go?
Risk Assessment Considering Uncertainty
Zero or Bust
Protection of Children and the Unborn
Polluters Should Pay
Catastrophe and Apathy
Public Information and Distorting Risks
Perceptions and Conflicts of Interest
As Low As Reasonably Achievable (ALARA)
Best Available Technology (BAT)
The Precautionary Principle
Risk-Risk Trade-offs and Unintended Consequences
Risk Transfer and Risk Transformation
Priorities and Realities
Factors in Prioritization
Public Perception of Risks
Influence of Stakeholder Groups
Real Risks and Reordering Priorities
Environmental Cleanup at the Nevada Test Site
Characterization of Waste Destined for WIPP
The Case Against Risk
Dose as a Surrogate for Risk
The Case for Dose
A Dose-Based System of Protection
Regulatory Dose Limit
Management Decisions Based on Dose Proportion
Simplification of Radiation Quantities and Units
Review of the Current System of Radiation Protection
Radiation from the Gods
The Watras Case
Human Exposure to Radon
Health Hazards of Radon
Is There Really a Public Health Hazard?
Perceptions and Fears
Hold the Phone
Will Cell Phones “Fry” Your Brain?
Managing Phantom Risks
PR Campaign: Proportion, Prioritization, and Precaution
“… the book provides a useful source of information on how risks, and especially radiological risks, are assessed, evaluated and communicated by/to a variety of stakeholders including scientists, legislators, pressure groups and the public. … The book contains a great deal of interesting information and is certainly thought-provoking. It also contains some useful cross-references to chemical risks and how these are addressed. … The book is intended for scientists, lawyers, engineers, policy makers and public health professionals … ”
— Ron Brown, in the Journal of Radiological Protection
“The book is written in a spirited tone…. It imposes a minimum burden of mathematical symbols, freshens graphs from the older literature to make them easy for a broad audience to understand, and provides simply formatted tables that list the main concepts as they are introduced. …notes following every chapter…deepen the exposition…. The mixing of a studied description of risk management with advocacy, debate, and some stridency makes for an exciting read. …gives anyone interested in risk management policy the perspective of a well-read, involved, and spirited actor in the field.”
—Mark P. Langer, Indiana University School of Medicine, writing in the American Journal of Roentgenology, (189) 1