Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management ESREL 2011

Thematic areas

Accident and incident investigation

A preliminary analysis of the ‘News Divine’ incident
S. Olmos-Peña & J.R. Santos-Reyes

Case study: Do activities and outcomes of the process safety observations match?
M. Gerbec

Definition of an algorithm for accident identification
M. Nombela & E. Boix

Feasibility of railway suicide prevention strategies: A focus group study
H. Rådbo, B. Renck & R. Andersson

Major accidents and their consequences for risk regulation
I.B. Dahle, G. Dybvig, G. Ersdal, T. Guldbrandsen, B.A. Hanson, J.E. Tharaldsen & A.S. Wiig

Prevention of atypical accident scenarios through the use of resilience based early warning indicators
N. Paltrinieri, V. Cozzani, K. Øien & T.O. Grøtan

Suicide and the potential for suicide prevention on the Swedish rail network: A qualitative multiple case study
H. Rådbo, I. Svedung & R. Andersson

Bayesian methods

An AHP-based approach of risk analysis in Bayesian belief networks
B. Xie & J. Vatn

An optimizational resource allocation method for series system reliability life test
Q. Liu, X. Wu & J. Ding

Assessing risk based on Bayesian networks and FMECA: A case study
L.M. Pedersen & M.H. Saltnes

Bayesian network for decision making on ageing facilities
P.A.P. Ramírez & I.B. Utne

Comparison of fault tree and Bayesian Networks for modeling safety critical components in railway systems
Q. Mahboob & D. Straub
 
Establishing prior probability distributions for probabilities that pairs of software components fail simultaneously
M. Kristiansen, R. Winther & B. Natvig

Parameter estimation in a reservoir engineering application
A.M. Hanea & M. Gheorghe

Reliability based design of engineering systems with monotonic models
M. Rajabalinejad & C. Spitas

Towards a Bayesian Network methodology to improve maintenance of complex semiconductor systems
M.F. Bouaziz, E. Zamaï, S. Monot, F. Duvivier & S. Hubac

Work time loss prediction by exploiting occupational accident data
E.C. Marcoulaki, I.A. Papazoglou & M. Konstandinidou

Crisis and emergency management

Functional safety requirements for active protection systems from individual and collective risk criteria
J.E. Kaufman & I. Häring

How the use of modelled scenarios can improve risk awareness and risk control in complex environments
J.M. Hagen, B.O. Knutsen, T. Sandrup & M. Bjørnenak

Interdependency-based approach of complex events in critical infrastructure under crisis: A first step toward a global framework
B. Birregah, A. Muller & E. Châtelet

Learning decision making: Some ideas on how novices better can learn from skilled response personnel
M. Sommer

Performance evaluation of organizational crisis cell: Methodological proposal at communal level
D. Lachtar & E. Garbolino

Quantitative approach of organizational resilience for a Dutch emergency response safety region
J.M.P. van Trijp, M. Ulieru & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

Security incidents and subsequent adaptations of disaster response in complex humanitarian emergencies
B.I. Kruke

Decision making under risk

A guidance for implementing decision-aiding in risk management
F. Beaudouin & M. Merad

Dealing with uncertainties in long term investment planning of electricity distribution systems with distributed generation
M.D. Catrinu, M. Istad & D.E. Nordgård

Forming risk clusters in projects to improve coordination between risk owners
F. Marle & L.A. Vidal

On the use of value of information measure in decision making—A drilling jar case
J.T. Selvik, H.P. Lohne & T. Aven

Performance-based fire safety—risk associated with different designs
H. Bjelland & O. Njå

Sequential optimization of oil production under uncertainty
A.B. Huseby & N. Moratchevski
 
Shared collaboration surfaces used to support adequate team decision processes in an integrated operations setting
M. Kaarstad & G. Rindahl

Visualization and verification of dependable work processes for stakeholder-driven organizations
A.P.-J. Thunem & H.P.-J. Thunem

Dynamic reliability

A comparison of scenario binning methods for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment
K. Metzroth, D. Mandelli, A. Yilmaz, R. Denning & T. Aldemir

A dynamic Level 2 PRA using ADAPT-MELCOR
D.M. Osborn, D. Mandelli, K. Metzroth, T. Aldemir, R. Denning & U. Catalyurek

A probabilistic model for online scenario labeling in dynamic event tree generation
D. Zamalieva, A. Yilmaz & T. Aldemir

Application of the dynamic hazop to an air separation distillation column
J.S.G.C. Matos, P.F. Frutuoso e Melo & M. Nele

Capability of the MCDET method in the field of dynamic PSA
M. Kloos

Development of a simulator independent cognitive human reliability model for nuclear accident conditions
R. Sundaramurthi & C. Smidts

Dynamic reliability and uncertainty analysis of severe accident with randomly delayed events
R. Alzbutas & P.E. Labeau

Lazy forward-chaining methods for probabilistic model-checking
F. Teichteil-Königsbuch, G. Infantes & C. Seguin

Reliability assessment for complex systems operating in dynamic environment
G. Babykina, N. Brinzei, J.-F. Aubry & G.A. Pérez Castañeda

Using dynamic Bayesian networks to solve a dynamic reliability problem
P. Broy, H. Chraibi & R. Donat

Fault diagnosis, prognosis and system health management

A comparison of distribution estimators used to determine a degradation decision threshold for very low first order error
O. Hmad, A. Mathevet, P. Beauseroy, E. Grall-Maës & J.R. Masse

A first step toward a model driven diagnosis algorithm design methodology
J.-M. Flaus, O. Adrot & Q.D. Ngo

A generic adaptive prognostic function for heterogeneous multi-component systems: Application to helicopters
P. Ribot & E. Bensana

Advanced text mining algorithms for aerospace anomaly identification
Z. Bluvband & S. Porotsky

ANN based Bayesian hierarchical model for crack detection and localization over helicopter fuselage panels
C. Sbarufatti, A. Manes & M. Giglio

Contribution to specific determination of system state and condition
D. Valis & L. Zak

Decision support with a markovian approach for maintenance context activities
P. Vrignat, M. Avila, F. Duculty, B. Robles & F. Kratz
 
Diagnostic of discrete event systems using timed automata in MATLAB SIMULINK
Z. Simeu-Abazi, E. Gascard & F. Chalagiraud

Differential evolution for optimal grouping of condition monitoring signals of nuclear components
P. Baraldi, E. Zio, F. Di Maio, L. Pappaglione, R. Chevalier & R. Seraoui

Ensemble of unsupervised fuzzy C-Means classifiers for clustering health status of oil sand pumps
F. Di Maio, E. Zio, M. Pecht, P. Tse & K. Tsui

Evaluation of relevance of stochastic parameters on Hidden Markov Models
B. Roblès, M. Avila, F. Duculty, P. Vrignat & F. Kratz

Exploitation of built in test for diagnosis by using Dynamic Fault Trees: Implementation in Matlab Simulink
E. Gascard, Z. Simeu-Abazi & J. Younes

Fault detection through physical modelling in an axial flow compressor of a combined-cycle power plant
J.A. García-Matos, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, A. Muñoz & A. Sola

Fault propagation in systems operating phased missions
R. Remenyte-Prescott & J.D. Andrews

Guaranteeing high availability of wind turbines
G. Haddad, P.A. Sandborn, T. Jazouli, M.G. Pecht, B. Foucher & V. Rouet

Method of fault detection and isolation in nonlinear electrical circuits
A. Zhirabok & D. Tkachev

Modeling and fleet effect for the diagnosis of a system behavior
F. Ankoud, G. Mourot, J. Ragot, R. Chevalier & N. Paul

One-class SVM in multi-task learning
X. He, G. Mourot, D. Maquin, J. Ragot, P. Beauseroy, A. Smolarz & E. Grall-Maës

Periodical inspection frequency of safety related control systems in machinery—practical recommendations for the determination
M. Dzwiarek & O. Hryniewicz

Predictive maintenance policy for oil well equipment in case of scaling through support vector machines
M.C. Moura, I.D. Lins, R.J. Ferreira, E.L. Droguett & C.M.C. Jacinto

Scope and potential of applying artificial neural networks in reliability prediction with a focus on railway rolling stock
O. Fink & U. Weidmann

State estimation for nonlinear system diagnosis using multiple models: Application to wastewater treatment plants
A.M. Kiss, B. Marx, G. Mourot & J. Ragot

Supervision of switching systems based on dynamical classification approach
A. Chammas, M. Traoré, E. Duviella & S. Lecoeuche

Fault tolerant control and systems

Control allocation of k-out-of-n systems based on Bayesian Network reliability model: Application to a drinking water network
P. Weber, C. Simon, D. Theilliol & V. Puig

Design of fault tolerant control for nonlinear systems subject to time varying faults
T. Bouarar, B. Marx, D. Maquin & J. Ragot

Fault-Tolerant system design in multiple operating modes using a structural model
B. Conrard, V. Cocquempot & S. Mili

Guaranteed localization using reliability of measurements in imperfect mobile sensor networks
F. Mourad, H. Snoussi, F. Abdallah & C. Richard

Leak detection in the lubrication system of an aircraft turbine engine
L. Rakoto, M. Kinnaert, M. Strengnart & N. Raimarckers

Prognosis applied to an electromechanical system: A nonlinear approach based on sliding mode observer
D. Gucik-Derigny, R. Outbib & M. Ouladsine

R2wAC: Recursive redundancy with active comparison
J.G. de Chavarri, J. Mendizabal Samper, A. Villaro, S. Urcelayeta, J.M. Blanco & A. Galarza

Sensor and actuator faults estimation for Takagi-Sugeno models using descriptor approach: Application to Fault Tolerant Control
M. Bouattour, M. Chadli, A. El Hajjaji & M. Chaabane

Human factors and human reliability

A model-based approach for the collection of human reliability data
S. Massaiu

Accidents in the gas distribution industry: Some consequences of the introduction of new analysis criteria
G. Desmorat, P. Desideri, F. Loth, F. Guarnieri & D. Besnard

An approach to predict human reliability in manual assembly
B. Günnel, M. Schlummer, A. Meyna, M. Schick, F. Heumeni & M. Haueis

Assessing the impact of domain-specific cognitive profiles on the reliability of human operators in the railway domain
M. Arenius, O. Sträter, M. Hammerl, M. Talg, K. Lemmer, H. Franzmeyer & B. Milius

Bayesian network modelling for fire safety assessment: Part I—a study of human reaction during the initial stages of a dwelling fire
D.B. Matellini, A.D. Wall, I.D. Jenkinson, J. Wang & R. Pritchard

Concept of operations for data fusion visualization
T.R. McJunkin, R.L. Boring, M.A. McQueen, L.P. Shunn, J.L. Wright, D.I. Gertman, O. Linda, K. McCarty & M. Manic

Developing and evaluating the Bayesian Belief Network as a human reliability model using artificial data
Y. Stempfel & V.N. Dang

Implementing of new methods for assessing human risk in maintenance
R. Doležal

Information foraging in nuclear power plant control rooms
R.L. Boring

Integration of human factors in project uncertainty management, a decision support system based on fuzzy logic
S. Hassanzadeh, F. Marmier, D. Gourc & S. Bougaret

Offshore supply vessels design and operation: A human factors exploration
V. Rumawas & B.E. Asbjørnslett

Participant motivation in experiment of emergency operating procedures
F. Song, S. Xu & Z.Z. Li

Pendulum shifts, context, error, and personal accountability
H.S. Blackman & O.V. Hester

Quantitative retrospective analysis of CREAM in maritime operations
Z.L. Yang & J. Wang

Tailoring the HEART technique for application in the rail industry
W.H. Gibson, C. Dennis, K. Thompson, A. Mills & B. Kirwan

Task Analysis and modelling based on Human-Centred Design approach in ATC work
S. Inoue, H. Aoyama, K. Yamazaki, K. Nakata & K. Furuta

Teamwork competencies required by members of integrated operations teams in the petroleum industry
A.B. Skjerve & G. Rindahl

The development and application of CARA—a HRA tool for Air Traffic Management systems
B. Kirwan, A. Kilner, W.H. Gibson, D. Piccione & M. Sawyer

The meaning of human performance data observed from simulator studies on human reliability analysis
J. Park & W. Jung

The right HRA model for the right HRA application
V. Fauchille

Three Human Reliability Analyses under the MERMOS light
P. Le Bot & H. Pesme

Towards a unified human reliability model
P.A. Baziuk, S. Rivera & J.N. Mc Leod

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

A complete probabilistic spare parts stock model under uncertainty
J. Lonchampt & K. Fessart

A framework for selection of test method for safety critical valves
E.B. Abrahamsen & W. Røed

A maintenance strategy for systems subject to competing failure modes due to multiple internal defects and external shocks
I.T. Castro

A new modeling framework of component degradation
P. Baraldi, A. Balestrero, M. Compare, E. Zio, L. Benetrix & A. Despujols

A Petri net model of aircraft maintenance scheduling
D.R. Prescott

A simulation model for complex repairable systems with inter-component dependencies and three types of component failures
J. Malinowski

A study of the effect of imperfect inspection on the efficacy of maintenance for a non-repairable system with a defective state 
M.D. Berrade, P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante

Adaptive condition-based maintenance models for deteriorating systems operating under variable environment and indirect condition monitoring
K.T. Huynh, A. Barros & C. Bérenguer

An optimal periodic preventive maintenance policy of a deteriorating system subject to a bivariate state process
R. Ahmadi & M. Newby

Application of RFMEA to risk analysis of maintenance of electric facilities
M. Ko & T. Nishikawa

Combined representation of coupling effects in maintenance processes of complex engineering systems
V. Volovoi & R. Valenzuela Vega

 
Developments of time dependencies modelling concepts
T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

Dynamic grouping maintenance strategy with time limited opportunities
P. Do Van, F. Brissaud, A. Barros, C. Bérenguer & K. Bouvard

Dynamic maintenance requirements analysis in asset management
R.A. Dwight, P. Gordon & P.A. Scarf

Failure risk analysis and maintenance effectiveness in a windturbine according to its history of unavailability and applied maintenance
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, R.J.A. Vieira & X. Montilla

Functional and economic obsolescence of assets in network utilities according to different environmental factors
J.F. Gómez, V. González, L. Barberá & A. Crespo

Impact of maintenance on the replacement investment under technological improvement
T.P.K. Nguyen, T.G. Yeung & B. Castanier

Integrating production and maintenance planning for a parallel system with dependent components
M. Nourelfath & E. Châtelet

Maintenance effect modelling and optimization of a two-components system
W. Lair, R. Ziani, S. Mercier & M. Roussignol

Multicriteria paradigm and Multi-objective Optimization on maintenance modeling
C.A.V. Cavalcante & A.T. de Almeida

Optimal preventive maintenance schedules using specific genetic algorithms and probabilistic graphical model
I. Ayadi, L. Bouillaut, P. Aknin & P. Siarry

Optimal prognostic maintenance planning for multi-component systems
A. Van Horenbeek & L. Pintelon

Optimization of redundancy and imperfect preventive maintenance for series-parallel multi-state systems
M. Nourelfath & E. Châtelet

Predicting rail geometry deterioration by regression models
F.P. Westgeest, R. Dekker & R.H. Fischer

Probability distribution of maintenance cost of a repairable system modeled as an alternating renewal process
T. Cheng, M.D. Pandey & J.A.M. van der Weide

Robustness of maintenance decisions: Uncertainty modelling and value of information
A. Zitrou, T. Bedford & A. Daneshkhah

Semi-Markov processes for coverage modeling and optimal maintenance policies of an automated restoration mechanism
H.C. Grigoriadou, V.P. Koutras & A.N. Platis

Semi-parametric estimation and condition-based maintenance
M. Fouladirad, A. Grall & C. Paroissin

Simple Non-Markovian models for complex repair and maintenance strategies with LARES+
M. Walter

SIS-design automation by use of Abstract Safety Markup Language
K. Machleidt, L. Litz & T. Gabriel

SPAMUF: A behaviour-based maintenance prediction system
P. Bastos, I. Lopes & L. Pires
 
Spare parts provision for a maintained system with a heterogeneous lifetime
P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante

State based models applied to offshore wind turbine maintenance and renewal
Z. Hameed & J. Vatn

The analysis and conversion of warranty maintenance tasks for a power plant
B.M. Alkali & P. McGibney

Mathematical methods in reliability and safety

A block replacement policy for a bivariate wear subordinator
S. Mercier & M. Roussignol

A Monte Carlo approach for evaluation of availability and failure intensity under g-renewal process model
O. Yevkin

A new criterion for design of brittle components and for assessing their vulnerability to brittle fracture
M.T. Todinov

Application of competing risks and generalized renewal processes in reliability analysis
R.J. Ferreira, M.C. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett & P.R.A. Firmino

Early detection of change-point in occurrence rate with small sample size
L. Bordes, C. Paroissin & J.-C. Turlot

Fine exact methods of safety, security and risk engineering
D. Prochazkova

Importance measures and common-cause failures in network reliability
C. Tanguy

Multivariate Gumbel distributions for Reliability Assessment
B.J. Leira & D. Myrhaug

Nonparametric predictive inference for reliability of a series of subsystems with multiple component types
A.M. Aboalkhair, F.P.A. Coolen & I.M. MacPhee

Numerical method for the distribution of a service time of a structure subject to corrosion
A. Brandejsky, B. de Saporta, F. Dufour & C. Elegbede

On generalized shot noise-type stochastic failure model
J.H. Cha & M. Finkelstein

Probabilistic prognosis of a system: Application to a pneumatic valve
A. Lorton, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall

Reliability of the power electronic components by their dynamical simulation in real working conditions
J. de Reffye

Scenario analysis and PRA: Overview and lessons learned
D. Mandelli, T. Aldemir & A. Yilmaz

Small failure probabilities and copula functions: Preliminary studies on structural reliability analysis
E.A. Tamparopoulos, P. Spyridis & K. Bergmeister

Structure decision making for MSS refrigeration system
I. Frenkel, L. Khvatskin & A. Lisnianski

The Inverse Gamma process for modeling state-dependent deterioration processes
M. Guida & G. Pulcini
 
The method of safe 4D flight trajectory prediction in controlled airspace
M. Piatek & A. Stelmach

Process oriented simulation framework for Common-Cause Failure assessment
E. Bejdakic, M. Krauß & H.-P. Berg

The unique signal applied to weapon system safety design
L.Y. Xiao, J. Li, B. Suo & S. Li

Uncertainty analysis via failure domain characterization: Polynomial requirement functions
L.G. Crespo, C.A. Muñoz, A.J. Narkawicz, S.P. Kenny & D.P. Giesy

Uncertainty assessment in semi Markov methods for Weibull functions distributions
M. Zajac & A. Kierzkowski

Occupational safety

An engineering and psycho-social integrated approach for Work-Related Stress (WRS)
assessment and management
P. Citti, M. Delogu, A. Meneghin & F. Pagliai

Applying the safe place, safe person, safe systems framework to the healthcare industry
O. Lasaki, A.-M. Makin & C. Winder

Applying the safe place, safe person, safe systems framework to the management of biohazards
A. Bamford, A.-M. Makin & C. Winder

Cognitive, affective and behaviour outcomes of a safety training program
L.O. Duarte, S.A. Olea & S.A. Silva

Manual handling operations risk assessment
A.R. Burcíaga-Ortega & J.R. Santos-Reyes

Measurement of safety social norms at organizations: Construct validation of a safety social norms survey
C.S. Fugas, S.A. Silva & J.L. Meliá

Organizing for quality and safety in health care—the Norwegian case
S. Wiig, J. Quartz, C.v. Plessen & S. Harthug

Safety design of high consequence systems based on first principles
S. Li, J. Li, B. Suo & L.Y. Xiao

The contribution of balanced scorecards to the management of occupational health and safety
F. Juglaret, J.M. Rallo, R. Textoris, F. Guarnieri & E. Garbolino

The impact of framework conditions on HSE in subcontracting/outsourcing
K. Skarholt, U. Forseth, M. Hermundsgård & R. Rosness

The impact of human and organisational factors on risk perception on Danish production platforms
H.B. Rasmussen

Quantitative risk assessment

A BBN risk model of maintenance work on major process equipment on offshore petroleum installations
B.A. Gran, O.M. Nyheim, J. Seljelid & J.E. Vinnem

A methodology to quantitative ecological risk assessment for industrial accidents
O.H. Duarte & E.A. Droguett

A predicting method of system safety risk state transition time based on Markov process
H.T. Li, X.M. Liu, J.L. Zhou & G. Jin

 
A research on simulation methods for system risk assessment
X.M. Liu, H.T. Li, J.L. Zhou & P.C. Luo

Assessment of common cause failures and defensive measures for the representation of I&C in probabilistic models
G. Deleuze, N. Thuy, R. Quatrain & F. Jouanet

Combining FMECA and fault trees for declining safety requirements of complex systems
R. Guillerm, H. Demmou & N. Sadou

Discussion of a mathematical model to simulate a fire ball from gaseous explosion (BLEVE)
A.N. Haddad & E.B.F. Galante

Enabling quantitative risk assessment of the real world transport system
M. Kowalski & J. Magott

Fault tree analysis of substations
M. Čepin

Formalization of a quantitative risk analysis methodology for static explosive events
R.G. Salhab, I. Häring & F.K.F. Radtke

High-pressure pipeline break risk assessment
T. Saska, J. Novak, F. Kratochvil & R. Sousek

Integrated risk assessment for LNG terminals
O.N. Aneziris, I.A. Papazoglou & M. Konstantinidou

ITRA: GUST—The Guttman scaling tool for supporting IT risk assessment audits
R. Mock & Ph. Aeschlimann

Literate PSA modeling for a modular PSA
M. Hibti

Managing the risks to personnel within occupied buildings
N.J. Cavanagh

Method for quantitative assessment of domino effect caused by overpressure
F. Kadri, E. Châtelet & G. Chen

Organizational interface failures: A historical perspective and risk analysis framework
T.T. Pires & A. Mosleh

Probabilistic risk analysis procedure for aircraft overruns
M.G. Gratton, M. De Ambroggi & P. Trucco

Probabilistic Safety Assessment of a UF6 production process
B. Ebrahimi

Safety factors in fire safety engineering
H. Bjelland & O. Njå

Setting rational safety goals for human spaceflight
J.R. Fragola & E.L. Morse

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

A discussion on expert judgments in national risk analyses
K. Russell Vastveit, O. Njå, G.S. Braut & M. Ruge Holte

A simple polynomial regression to estimate the parameters of the Weibull distribution with  > 0
I.B. Sidibé & K.H. Adjallah

Accelerated test model in fatigue life reliability evaluation of stub axle
E.A. Azrulhisham, Y.M. Asri, A.W. Dzuraidah & A.H. Hairul Fahmi
 
Analysis of wave energy parameters based on copula functions
C. Ejoh & S. Sriramula

Database concept in early stage of operation
I. Dziaduch & M. Mlynczak

Estimation of an aging failure process taking into account change in trend and local perturbation
E. Idée, P. Briand, C. Labart, V. Verrier & P. Bertrand

Gamma process classification according to relevant variables: Problem statement and first study
X.Z. Wang, E. Grall-Maës & P. Beauseroy

Improved estimation of failure frequencies for offshore pipelines and risers
P. Praks & S. Medonos

Links between reliability Cox model for MV electrical component and the reliability target defined for the global MV electrical network
P. Carer, R. Lattes, L. Guerineau, B. Puluhen & L. Pierrat

On a goodness of fit test for gamma process: Comparison of an observed process with a reference
E. Grall-Maës

Reliability prediction model of a multi-state system subject to general repair and maintenance with limited failure data
M. Muhammad, A.A. Mokhtar & M.A.A. Majid

Reliability prediction of oil wells by support vector machine with particle swarm optimization for variable selection and hyperparameter tuning
I.D. Lins, M.C. Moura, E.L. Droguett, E. Zio & C.M. Jacinto

Reliability prognosis for mobile phones: A case study
A. Braasch, F. Plinke, D. Althaus & A. Meyna

Risk of postoperative complications after surgeries: Laparoscopic versus open surgery
P. Jahoda, R. Briš & L. Martínek

The RAW concept: Early identification and analysis of product failure behaviour in the use phase
S. Bracke & S. Haller

Trialling the use of safety performance indicators within Great Britain’s railway industry
K. Thompson, J. Heavisides, G. Bearfield & D. Griffin

Warranty data analysis for service demand forecasting: A case study in household appliances
O. Borgia, F. De Carlo & M. Tucci

Risk and hazard analysis

A modelling framework for model based risk analysis
J.-M. Flaus

A linear programming approach to risk prioritization in FMEA
P.A.A. Garcia, I.C. Leal Jr. & M.A. Oliveira

Ageing and life extension for safety systems on offshore facilities
S. Håbrekke & P. Hokstad

Applying a systemic model of accident within a system for treatment of contaminated materials
K. Hardy & F. Guarnieri

Assessment of loss results by means of multi—criteria analysis
P. Suchardova, A. Bernatik & O. Sucharda

Evaluation of regional risk analyses in Norway
O. Njå, G.S. Braut & K.R. Vastveit
 
Fragment launching conditions for risk analysis of explosion and impact scenarios
R.G. Salhab, I. Häring & F.K.F. Radtke

Improving reliability allocation in a complex repairable system using STRR allocation technique
W. Baun

Managing inconsistency in safety analysis: An initial exploration
L. Sun & T. Kelly

New approach to analysis of falling objects in the offshore petroleum industry—operational categorization of events
J. Seljelid, S.A. Kvalheim, O.M. Nyheim & J.E. Vinnem

On software interoperability in accident consequence assessment
S. Contini, L. Fabbri, V. Matuzas & M. Binda

Risk assessment of dropped and dragged anchors to offshore pipelines
L.F. Oliveira & D. Gusovsky

Safety assessment methodology for a UAV development program
C. Sirma

Towards an integrated risk model for hydrocarbon industry operation
B.J.M. Ale, D. Hanea, C. van Gulijk, P.-H. Lin, S. Sillem & P. Hudson

Towards CFD fire modelling applied to quantitative risk analysis
S. Vianna, K. Shaba, J. Pujol, A. Garcia-Sagrado & L.F. Oliveira

Risk governance

An evaluation of the risk governance of civil aviation during the 2010 volcanic ash cloud
H. Veland & T. Aven

Regulatory response to hazards. Case studies from the Norwegian petroleum industry
P.H. Lindøe, O.A. Engen & A. Moen

The effect of the Deepwater Horizon accident on the Norwegian debate concerning future oil and gas development in Lofoten and Vesterålen
I.L. Johansen

Risk management

Benchmark study on international functional safety standards
F. Massé, R. Tiennot, J.P. Signoret, P. Blancart, G. Dupin & L. Marle

Correlating risk and innovation management in projects
F. Marle, M. Jankovic & G. Turré

Drilling consortia—new ways of organising exploration drilling in the oil and gas industry and the consequences for safety
L. Hansson, G.M. Lamvik & S. Antonsen

Effectively mitigating and managing the risk to public assets
D. Prochazkova

Empowered agents or empowered agencies? Assessing the risk regulatory regimes in the Norwegian and US offshore oil and gas industry
P.H. Lindøe, M. Baram & G.S. Braut

Experience from chemical industry for controlling patient safety
C. van Gulijk, B.J.M. Ale, D. Dongelmans & M. Vroom

Integrated safety management based on organizational resilience
T.O. Grøtan & F. Størseth
 
Principles for setting risk acceptance criteria for safety critical activities
E. Vanem

Quality aspects in planning of maintenance and modification on offshore oil and gas installations
S. Sarshar, A.B. Skjerve, G. Rindahl, T. Sand & B. Hermansen

Reducing the risks faced by small businesses: The lifecycle concept
S. Clusel, F. Guarnieri, C. Martin & D. Lagarde

Risk assessment method for shopping centres
S. Nenonen & K. Tytykoski

Security risk management in Norwegian aviation meets nordic traditions of risk management
O.A. Engen

The collective risk, the individual risk and their dependence on exposition time
J. Braband & H. Schäbe

Safety culture and risk perception

Development of a safety management system for Small and Medium Enterprises (SME’s)
E. McGuinness, I.B. Utne & M. Kelly

Relation between organizational culture styles and safety culture
M.A. Mariscal Saldaña, S. García Herrero, A. Toca Otero & J.M. Gutierrez Llorente

Risk perception in health care—A study of differences across organizational interfaces
S. Wiig

Safety theoretical issues: Scientific please, but keep it brief
F. Størseth & T.O. Grøtan

The challenge of system change in aviation: The Masca project
M.C. Leva, N. McDonald, S. Corrigan & P. Ulfvengren

The impact of safety climate on risk perception on Norwegian and Danish production platforms
H.B. Rasmussen & J.E. Tharaldsen

Training for compliance and beyond: Enabling high performance deliveries in the work permit process
H. von Hirsch Eriksen, S. Mjelstad, O.H. Utvik & H. Smaamo

Structural reliability and design codes

Beams on elastic foundation solved via probabilistic approach (SBRA Method)
K. Frydrýšek

Deterioration model for large reinforced concrete structures
M. Sykora & M. Holicky

Development of representative seismic fragility function for bridge group by using results of safety factor
M.K. Kim, I.-K. Choi & D.G. Hahm

Fatigue loading estimation for road bridges using long term WIM monitoring
M. Treacy & E. Brühwiler

Finite difference modeling of formation damage during underbalanced drilling in a tight gas reservoir
M. Naseri, S.R. Shadizadeh, E. Sahraei & S.S. Ghorashi

Laboratory simulation technique of non-stationary random vibration environment
C. Mao, Y. Jiang, J. Tao & X. Chen

Performance of passive fire protection for liquefied petroleum gas vessels: An experimental and numerical study
M. Gomez-Mares, S. Larcher, A. Tugnoli, V. Cozzani, F. Barontini & G. Landucci

Probabilistic approaches used in the solution of design for biomechanics and mining
K. Frydrýšek

Probabilistic assessment of an aged highway bridge under traffic load
R.D.J.M. Steenbergen, J. Maljaars, O. Morales Nápoles & L. Abspoel

Probabilistic modelling of hygro-thermal performance of building structure
Z. Sadovský, O. Koronthályová & P. Matiašovský

Probabilistic models of thermal actions for bridges
J. Marková

Reliability based design in tunnelling
M. Huber, P.A. Vermeer, C. Moormann & M.A. Hicks

Small failure probability assessment based on subset simulations: Application to a launcher structure
C. Elegbede & F. Normand

Uncertainty analysis of ultimate limit state of steel bar structures
Z. Kala

Updating partial factors for material properties of existing structures in a Eurocode framework using Bayesian statistics
R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe

System reliability analysis

A fast augmentation algorithm for optimizing the performance of repairable flow networks in real time
M.T. Todinov

A Monte Carlo simulation based dependability analysis of a non-Markovian grid computing environment with software rejuvenation
V.P. Koutras, S. Malefaki & A.N. Platis

An adapted application of FMEA in the identification of critical dynamic failure modes of digital reactor protection systems
G. Wang & S. Li

An analysis of applying RCM methodology in a Brazilian thermal power plant
P.H.C. Lins, T.V. Garcez, M.H. Alencar & A.T. de Almeida

An approach for coupling single component failure event with different common cause groups
D. Kančev & M. Čepin

Automated generation of a reliability model for a system undertaking phased missions
S.J. Dunnett & K.S. Stockwell

Contribution to mission profile effect onto sequential system reliability
M. Koucky & D. Valis

Dependability analysis activities merged with system engineering, a real case study feedback
R. Cressent, V. Idasiak, F. Kratz & P. David

Fast mission reliability prediction for unmanned aerial vehicles
J.D. Andrews, J. Poole & W.H. Chen

How IEC 61508 can be used to design safe offshore wind turbines
L. Dai, I.B. Utne & M. Rausand
 
Impact of different minimal path set selection methods on efficiency of fault tree decomposition
V. Matuzas & S. Contini

Issues of reliability in mobile working machines—inquiry study
A.-V. Itäsalo, A. Ellman & T. Välisalo

Management of factors that influence common cause failures of safety instrumented system in the operational phase
M. Rahimi, M. Rausand & M.A. Lundteigen

Modelling of dynamical dependability by using stochastic processes
J. Chudoba

Qualitative analysis of a BDMP by finite automaton
P.-Y. Chaux, J.-M. Roussel, J.-J. Lesage, G. Deleuze & M. Bouissou

Reliability analysis of phased-mission systems with phase mission backup
X. Wu & Q. Liu

Reliability analysis of the electronic protection systems with mixed m—branches reliability structure
A. Rosiński

Reliability analysis of vacuum sewerage systems using the total probability theorem
K. Miszta-Kruk

Requirements for dependability management and ICT tools in early stages of the system design
P. Valkokari, T. Ahonen, O. Venho-Ahonen, H. Franssila & A. Ellman

Safety and Reliability Decision Support System
K. Kolowrocki & J. Soszynska-Budny

The model of reusability of multi-component product
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & M. Plewa

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

A methodology to study complex biophysical systems with global sensitivity analysis
Q.-L. Wu, P.-H. Cournède & J. Bertheloot

A study of uncertainties in active load carrying systems due to scatter in specifications of piezoelectric actuators
S. Ondoua, H. Hanselka, R. Platz & J. Nuffer

An environmental risk assessment of a contaminated site based on extended uncertainty analyses
M.F. Milazzo & T. Aven

Comparing Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) and Copeland score for composite indicators in the field of security of energy supply
C.M. Rocco S., S. Tarantola, A.C. Badea & R. Bolado

Generalized expressions of reliability of series-parallel and parallel-series systems using the Transferable Belief Model
F. Aguirre, M. Sallak & W. Schön

Importance analysis in risk-informed decision-making of changes to Allowed Outage
Times addressing uncertainties
S. Martorell, M. Villamizar, J.F. Villanueva, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez

Importance analysis of multi-state system based on structural function methods
E. Zaitseva & V. Levashenko
 
Integrated approach to assessment of risks from VCE’s using phast risk and FLACS
N.J. Cavanagh & G. Morale

Monte Carlo and fuzzy interval propagation of hybrid uncertainties on a risk model for the design of a flood protection dike
P. Baraldi, N. Pedroni, E. Zio, E. Ferrario, A. Pasanisi & M. Couplet

Procedures for aggregating experts’ knowledge and group decision model approaches
T.V. Garcez, A.T. de Almeida-Filho & A.T. de Almeida

Sensitivity analysis of repetitive shock machine’s vibration energy
J. Wan, B. Chen & Q.T. Wang

Uncertainty analysis in probabilistic risk assessment: Comparison of probabilistic and non probabilistic approaches
D. Vasseur, T.D. Le Duy, A. Dutfoy, L. Dieulle & C. Bérenguer

Uncertainty analysis of nanoparticles for cancer photothermal therapy
D. Barchiesi, S. Kessentini & T. Grosges

Uncertainty analysis via failure domain characterization: Unrestricted requirement functions
L.G. Crespo, S.P. Kenny & D.P. Giesy

Uncertainty assessment of reliability estimates for safety instrumented systems
H. Jin, M.A. Lundteigen & M. Rausand

Uncertainty propagation methods in dioxin/furans emission estimation models
G. Ripamonti, G. Lonati, P. Baraldi, F. Cadini & E. Zio

Variance based sensitivity analysis of interactive buckling
Z. Kala

Special topics: Risk and reliability importance measures

Differential importance measures estimation through Monte Carlo and importance sampling techniques
S. La Rovere, P. Vestrucci & M. Sperandii

Importance measures with finite changes: The relationship between Fussell-Vesely and total order reliability importance
E. Borgonovo & C.L. Smith

On imprecision in relation to uncertainty importance measures
R. Flage, T. Aven, P. Baraldi & E. Zio

Uncertainty in importance measures: Developing the Epistemic Risk Achievement Worth
E. Borgonovo & C.L. Smith

Special topics: Deterioration modelling with covariates

Adaptive residual-based maintenance policy for a deteriorating system in dynamic environment
X. Zhao, M. Fouladirad & C. Bérenguer

An adaptive sequential maintenance decision for a deteriorating system with covariates and maintenance constraints
E. Khoury, E. Deloux, A. Grall & C. Bérenguer

Condition-based maintenance strategies for a partially observable deteriorating system
E. Deloux, M. Fouladirad & C. Bérenguer

On the gamma process modulated by a Markov jump process
C. Paroissin & L. Rabehasaina

Preventive maintenance optimization for a degrading system subject to shocks with degradation-dependent maintenance costs
M.C. Segovia & P.E. Labeau

Statistical modelling of aeronautical turboshaft engines ageing from field and repair data feedback including preventive maintenance
A. Billon, P. Darfeuil, S. Humbert, L. Bordes & C. Paroissin

Special topics: Multiple Criteria Decision Aid (MCDA) and risk analysis

Assessing sustainability and risks: About using a Multi-Criteria Decision Aid methodology within an organization
M. Merad, N. Dechy & F. Marcel

Expertise and decision-aiding in safety and environment domains: What are the risks?
M. Merad, W. Ouerdane & N. Dechy

MCDA tools and risk analysis: The decision deck project
B. Mayag, O. Cailloux & V. Mousseau

Parametrize a territorial risk evaluation scale using multiple experts knowledge through risk assessment examples
O. Cailloux & V. Mousseau

Special topics: Function-oriented monitoring and diagnosis

Generating quantitative cause-consequence explanation for operator support systems
A. Gofuku & M. Yonemura

Multilevel flow modeling for nuclear power plant diagnostics
G. Gola, M. Lind, H.P.-J. Thunem, A.P.-J. Thunem, E. Wingstedt & D. Roverso

Reasoning about causes and consequences in Multilevel Flow Models
M. Lind

Using an agent-oriented framework for supervision, diagnosis and prognosis applications in advanced automation environments
H.P.-J. Thunem, A.P.-J. Thunem & M. Lind

Industrial sectors

Aeronautics and aerospace

A model to assess lifetime of selected structural components using time distribution of exceeding a boundary condition—an outline
J. Żurek, H. Tomaszek & M. Zieja

Automatic derivation of qualitative and quantitative safety requirements for aircraft systems
P. Bieber, R. Delmas, C. Seguin & M. Bretschneider

Method of analysis of the relation between serious incident and accident in air traffic
J. Skorupski

Towards model-based functional hazard assessment at aircraft level
S. Maitrehenry, S. Metge, Y. Ait-Ameur & P. Bieber

Chemical and process industry

Consequence analysis of SI cycle hydrogen production plant coupled to a nuclear reactor
T. Ruiz-Sánchez, J.L. Francois, P.F. Nelson & M.J. Cruz-Gómez

Evaluation of CO2 liquefaction processes with production availability
Y. Seo, K. Kim & D. Chang

Evaporation rate of acetone: Overview of correlations and sensitivity analysis
S. Forestier, F. Heymes, G. Dusserre, L. Munier & E. Lapébie

Numerical simulation of pool fires in oil pipeline system
V.E. Seleznev & V.V. Aleshin

 
Critical infrastructures

A modelling language for the resilience assessment of networked systems of systems
R. Filippini & A. Silva

An All-Hazard approach for the vulnerability analysis of critical infrastructures
E. Zio, R. Piccinelli & G. Sansavini

Analytical model of low-rise building vulnerability curves
G.L. Pita & J.-P. Pinelli

Comparison of vulnerability and reliability analysis of technical infrastructures
J. Johansson & H. Hassel

Complexity and vulnerability of Smartgrid systems
E. Kuznetsova, K. Culver & E. Zio

Exploring critical infrastructure interdependency by hybrid simulation approach
C. Nan, W. Kröger & P. Probst

Failure scenarios in water supply system by means of fault tree analysis
B. Tchorzewska-Cieslak, K. Boryczko & M. Eid

From pre-crisis to post-crisis going through the peak
A. Laugé, J. Hernantes, L. Labaka & J.M. Sarriegi

Interdependency analysis of CIs in real scenarios
E. Cagno, P. Trucco & M. De Ambroggi

Optimization of electrical grid protection by a differential evolution algorithm
E. Zio, L.R. Golea & G. Sansavini

Organized Method for Secured Infrastructure Specifications
T. Derode, C. Elegbede, E. Garcia & P. Gilibert

Power grid reliability and vulnerability analysis
A. Volkanovski & W. Kröger

Reliability issues related to the usage of cloud computing in critical infrastructures
O. Diez & A. Silva

Service dependability and performance of SCADA systems interconnecting power grids and Telco networks
E. Ciancamerla, M. Minichino, D. Lefevre & L. Lev

Some metrics for assessing the vulnerability of complex networks: An application to an electric power system
C.M. Rocco S., J.E. Ramirez-Marquez & D.E. Salazar A.

The need for a new approach to road tunnels risk analysis
K. Kirytopoulos & K. Kazaras

Towards an integrated risk analysis framework for CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage
J. Samadi & E. Garbolino

Unreliability of water supply networks in the Polish towns based on the field reliability tests
M. Kwietniewski & K. Miszta-Kruk

Energy

Aligning natural gas industry in an efficient and effective way towards greenhouse gases emissions
T.V. Alvarenga

Hazards and accident risks of fossil, nuclear and renewable energy technologies
P. Burgherr, P. Eckle & S. Hirschberg

 
Modelling and maintenance optimisation for the next generation of power plants
U. Aha, A. Manig & H.J. Krautz

Numerical monitoring of natural gas delivery discrepancy for cities energy preparedness
V.E. Seleznev & V.V. Kiselev

Reliability and availability estimation of a photovoltaic system using Petri networks
R. Laronde, A. Charki, D. Bigaud, E.A. Elsayed & P. Excoffier

Information technology and telecommunications

Backup path calculation in diverse routing considering shared risk link groups
J. Silva, T. Gomes & C. Simões

Bottleneck detection and forecasting in Message-Oriented-Middleware
B. Chew & J. Bigham

Communications reliability analysis in networked embedded systems
D. Aza-Vallina, B. Denis & J.-M. Faure

Designing a reliable protocol for web services based robots interconnection
H. Madsen, R.-D. Albu, F. Popenţiu-Vlădicescu, R.C. Ţarcă & G. Albeanu

How to assess telecom service availability risks for crisis organisations?
E. Vriezekolk, R. Wieringa & S. Etalle

Reliability evaluation of tactical internet based on cloud-mobility model
X. Wang & R. Kang

Resilience at interfaces—Improvement of safety and security in distributed control systems by establishing guidelines in collaboration
S.O. Johnsen

Safety aspects of generic real-time embedded software model checking in the fuzing domain
M. Larisch, U. Siebold & I. Häring

Web server’s reliability improvements using recurrent neural networks
H. Madsen, R.-D. Albu, I. Felea, G. Albeanu, F. Popenţiu-Vlădicescu & R.C. Ţrcă

Land transportation

A modal choice approach for freight transportation considering accident risks and eco-efficiency
I.C. Leal Jr., P.A.A. Garcia & M.A. D’Agosto

Adapting the air traffic management safety screening technique for railways
B. Milius & N. Petrek

Improving the reliability/availability of a complex system by an active monitoring based onto “augmentation concept”: Application onto a railway system
J. Gandibleux, L. Cauffriez & G. Branger

Measures of reliability and safety of rail transportation system
F.J. Restel

Optimization of preventive maintenance policy based on operational reliability analysis (Application to tramway access doors)
B. Bonnet & P. Dersin

RAMS processes in railway-substructure engineering for improved project quality
E. Okstad

Risk analysis applied to discrete transportation systems
D. Caban & T. Walkowiak

Risk assessment and improvement of resilience of critical communication infrastructure
S.O. Johnsen & M. Veen
 
Statistical analysis of railway safety performance in the European Union
J. Braband & H. Schäbe

Manufacturing

Audit to a specific study scenario according to a reference framework for the improvement of the warranty management
V. González Díaz, C. Parra Márquez, J.F. Gómez Fernández & A. Crespo Márquez

Exact formulation of (R,S) and (s-1,1) inventory policies with poisson demand. Application to spare parts stock optimisation
J. Lonchampt

ICT application on the warranty management process. The “e-Warranty” concept
V. González Díaz, L. Barberá Martínez, J.F. Gómez Fernández & A. Crespo Márquez

Institutional design of product recall based on multi-agent simulation
K. Mitsudo, T. Kanno & K. Furuta

Integrated model of control chart and maintenance management with costs of production losses
F. Costantino, M. De Minicis & G. Di Gravio

Intelligent supervisory system for availability estimation of automated material handling system
J. Smoczek & J. Szpytko

Key performance indicators—a necessary tool for managing improvement processes? 
O. Meland

Logistic support for the improvement of the warranty management 
V. González Díaz, A. Crespo Márquez, F. Pérès, M. De Minicis & M. Tronci

Near-miss management system design in a lean manufacturing process
S. Andriulo, M.G. Gnoni, P. Nardone & G. Maggio

Optimal controller for manufacturing systems by decentralized approach
A. Philippot, V. Carré-Ménétrier & A. Tajer

The management of a warranty assistances program: A suggestion as reference framework
V. González Díaz, L. Barberá Martínez, J.F. Gómez Fernández & A. Crespo Márquez

The reverse logistics model of single-component product recovery
M. Plewa & A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk

Maritime transportation

A proposed Fuzzy Bayesian Network (FBN) model for measuring seafarers’ reliability
R. Riahi, I. Jenkinson, S. Bonsall & J. Wang

A study of the implementation of maritime safety regulations by a ship operator
H. Karahalios, Z.L. Yang & J. Wang

An integrated Life Cycle Assessment model to facilitate ship ecodesign
E. Vanem, L.E. Mangset, G. Psarros & R. Skjong

Analysis of near collisions in the Gulf of Finland
F. Goerlandt, J. Montewka, H. Lammi & P. Kujala

How incomplete statistical accident data affects the validation of risk analysis models
M. Hassel, B.E. Asbjørnslett & E.K. Ombler

Integrated risk management in an industrial port
P.A. Bragatto & A. Pirone

Optimal redundancy strategy for an automatic docking system between two ships
J. Ahn, J. Kwak & D. Chang
 
The possible impact of different watch keeping regimes at sea on sleep, fatigue, and safety
T. Kongsvik, K. Størkersen & J.H. Hansen

Natural hazards

A probabilistic framework for managing blowout risk during access to subglacial Antarctic Lakes
M.P. Brito, G. Griffiths & M. Mowlem

Active environment as a potential source of risk of major accident
K. Sikorova & A. Bernatik

Hydraulic modelling of the flood prone area in a basin with a historical report of urban inundation: The Arunca River case (Central Portugal)
P.P. Santos, A.O. Tavares & A.I.A.S.S. Andrade

Industrial hazards associated with the eruption of Etna 
M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, A. Basco, E. Salzano & G. Maschio

Interdependent fragility of complex urban infrastructure systems subjected to probabilistic earthquake hazards
I. Hernandez-Fajardo & L. Dueñas-Osorio

Management of hurricane risk in Florida
J.-P. Pinelli, T. Johnson, G.L. Pita, K. Gurley & S. Hamid

The significance of regulatory framework on safety climate
R.J. Bye, J. Røyrvik & G.M. Lamvik

The use of risk and vulnerability analysis in climate change adaptation
J. Laugesen, B.A. Mostue, I.B. Utne & J. Vatn

Total suspended particulate from mobile sources in an Italian opencast quarry: A proposal to improve US EPA ISC3 model
G.A. Degan, D. Lippiello & M. Pinzari

Nuclear industry

A Fokker-Planck model of pitting corrosion in underground pipelines to support risk-informed decision making
E.N. Camacho, P.F. Frutuoso e Melo, P.L.C. Saldanha & E.P. da Silva

A review of different approaches for developing process safety indicators
G.P. Monteiro & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo

Are organizational audits of safety that different from organizational investigation of accidents?
N. Dechy, J.-M. Rousseau & M. Llory

Integrated approach to optimize CAREM 25 nuclear power plant
J.E. Núñez Mc Leod & S.S. Rivera

Reliability analysis of Residual Heat Removal System (RHRS) in nuclear power plant by the GO-FLOW methodology
C. Yongyue & Y. Ming

Semi-quantitative methods in railway signaling—a viable model for nuclear applications? 
H.-P. Berg & S. Griebel

Biography

Berenguer, Christophe ; Grall, Antoine ; Guedes Soares, Carlos