Introduction to Probability with Texas Hold’em Examples

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ISBN 9781439827680
Cat# K11367
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ISBN 9781439888797
Cat# KE14554
 

Features

  • Uses real examples of Texas Hold’em hands to illustrate various probability topics
  • Discusses random walks and the arcsine laws
  • Shows how to use R to compute/approximate probabilities and simulate Texas Hold’em hands or tournaments
  • Covers important poker concepts, such as pot and implied odds, the "fundamental theorem of poker," and quantification of luck and skill
  • Presents the results of an optimal strategy for simplified poker games
  • Includes exercises in each chapter, with selected solutions in an appendix
  • Offers a dedicated R package on CRAN that simulates hands and tournaments of Texas Hold’em

Summary

Introduction to Probability with Texas Hold’em Examples illustrates both standard and advanced probability topics using the popular poker game of Texas Hold’em, rather than the typical balls in urns. The author uses students’ natural interest in poker to teach important concepts in probability.

This classroom-tested book covers the main subjects of a standard undergraduate probability course, including basic probability rules, standard models for describing collections of data, and the laws of large numbers. It also discusses several more advanced topics, such as the ballot theorem, the arcsine law, and random walks, as well as some specialized poker issues, such as the quantification of luck and skill in Texas Hold’em. Homework problems are provided at the end of each chapter.

The author includes examples of actual hands of Texas Hold’em from the World Series of Poker and other major tournaments and televised games. He also explains how to use R to simulate Texas Hold’em tournaments for student projects. R functions for running the tournaments are freely available from CRAN (in a package called holdem).

Table of Contents

Probability Basics
Meaning of Probability
Basic Terminology
Axioms of Probability
Venn Diagrams
General Addition Rule

Counting Problems
Sample Spaces with Equally Probable Events
Multiplicative Counting Rule
Permutations
Combinations

Conditional Probability and Independence
Conditional Probability
Independence
Multiplication Rules
Bayes’ Rule and Structured Hand Analysis

Expected Value and Variance
Cumulative Distribution Function and Probability Mass Function
Expected Value
Pot Odds
Luck and Skill in Texas Hold’em
Variance and Standard Deviation
Markov and Chebyshev Inequalities
Moment Generating Functions

Discrete Random Variables
Bernoulli Random Variables
Binomial Random Variables
Geometric Random Variables
Negative Binomial Random Variables
Poisson Random Variables

Continuous Random Variables
Probability Density Functions
Expected Value, Variance, and Standard Deviation
Uniform Random Variables
Exponential Random Variables
Normal Random Variables
Pareto Random Variables
Continuous Prior and Posterior Distributions

Collections of Random Variables
Expected Value and Variance of Sums of Random Variables
Conditional Expectation
Laws of Large Numbers and the Fundamental Theorem of Poker
Central Limit Theorem
Confidence Intervals for the Sample Mean
Random Walks

Simulation and Approximation Using Computers

Appendix A: Abbreviated Rules of Texas Hold’em
Appendix B: Glossary of Poker Terms
Appendix C: Solutions to Selected Odd-Numbered Exercises

References and Suggested Reading

Index

Exercises appear at the end of each chapter.

Author Bio(s)

Frederic Paik Schoenberg is a professor and graduate vice-chair of statistics at UCLA. He is also co-editor of the Journal of Environmental Statistics. He earned a Ph.D. in statistics from UC Berkeley. His research interests include point processes, image analysis, time series, and applications in seismology and fire ecology.

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Resource OS Platform Updated Description Instructions
Cross Platform January 06, 2012 Errata List click on http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~frederic/errors.html

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