Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems, Second Edition

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ISBN 9781439808757
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Features

  • Presents a systematic and logical treatment of each class of stochastic process, including discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains and Poisson, renewal, regenerative, semi-Markov, Markov regenerative, and diffusion processes
  • Provides a detailed account of Markov models
  • Explains how first passage times play an important role in the applications and theory of limiting behavior
  • Covers the important topic of phase-type distributions
  • Demonstrates the use of queuing models in several applications
  • Contains modeling, computational, and conceptual exercises
  • Offers a collection of MATLAB®-based programs that can be downloaded from the author’s website

Solutions manual available for qualifying instructors

Summary

Based on the author’s more than 25 years of teaching experience, Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems, Second Edition covers the most important classes of stochastic processes used in the modeling of diverse systems, from supply chains and inventory systems to genetics and biological systems. For each class of stochastic process, the text includes its definition, characterization, applications, transient and limiting behavior, first passage times, and cost/reward models. Along with reorganizing the material, this edition revises and adds new exercises and examples.

New to the Second Edition

  • A new chapter on diffusion processes that gives an accessible and non-measure-theoretic treatment with applications to finance
  • A more streamlined, application-oriented approach to renewal, regenerative, and Markov regenerative processes
  • Two appendices that collect relevant results from analysis and differential and difference equations

Rather than offer special tricks that work in specific problems, this book provides thorough coverage of general tools that enable the solution and analysis of stochastic models. After mastering the material in the text, students will be well-equipped to build and analyze useful stochastic models for various situations.

    A collection of MATLAB®-based programs can be downloaded from the author’s website and a solutions manual is available for qualifying instructors.

    Table of Contents

    Introduction
    What in the World Is a Stochastic Process?
    How to Characterize a Stochastic Process
    What Do We Do with a Stochastic Process?
    Discrete-Time Markov Chains: Transient Behavior
    Definition and Characterization
    Examples
    DTMCs in Other Fields
    Marginal Distributions
    Occupancy Times
    Computation of Matrix Powers
    DTMCs: First Passage Times
    Definitions
    Cumulative Distribution Function of T
    Absorption Probabilities
    Expectation of T
    Generating Function and Higher Moments of T
    DTMCs: Limiting Behavior
    Exploring the Limiting Behavior by Examples
    Irreducibility and Periodicity
    Recurrence and Transience
    Determining Recurrence and Transience: Infinite DTMCs
    Limiting Behavior of Irreducible DTMCs
    Examples: Limiting Behavior of Infinite State-Space Irreducible DTMCs
    Limiting Behavior of Reducible DTMCs
    DTMCs with Costs and Rewards
    Reversibility
    Poisson Processes
    Exponential Distributions
    Poisson Process: Definitions
    Event Times in a Poisson Process
    Superposition and Splitting of Poisson Processes
    Non-Homogenous Poisson Process
    Compound Poisson Process
    Continuous-Time Markov Chains
    Definitions and Sample Path Properties
    Examples
    Transient Behavior: Marginal Distribution
    Transient Behavior: Occupancy Times
    Computation of P(t): Finite State-Space
    Computation of P(t): Infinite State-Space
    First-Passage Times
    Exploring the Limiting Behavior by Examples
    Classification of States
    Limiting Behavior of Irreducible CTMCs
    Limiting Behavior of Reducible CTMCs
    CTMCs with Costs and Rewards
    Phase-Type Distributions
    Reversibility
    Queueing Models
    Introduction
    Properties of General Queueing Systems
    Birth and Death Queues
    Open Queueing Networks
    Closed Queueing Networks
    Single Server Queues
    Retrial Queue
    Infinite Server Queue
    Renewal Processes
    Introduction
    Properties of N(t)
    The Renewal Function
    Renewal-Type Equation
    Key Renewal Theorem
    Recurrence Times
    Delayed Renewal Processes
    Alternating Renewal Processes
    Semi-Markov Processes
    Renewal Processes with Costs/Rewards
    Regenerative Processes
    Markov Regenerative Processes
    Definitions and Examples
    Markov Renewal Process and Markov Renewal Function
    Key Renewal Theorem for MRPs
    Extended Key Renewal Theorem
    Semi-Markov Processes: Further Results
    Markov Regenerative Processes
    Applications to Queues
    Diffusion Processes
    Brownian Motion
    Sample Path Properties of BM
    Kolmogorov Equations for Standard Brownian Motion
    First Passage Times
    Reflected SBM
    Reflected BM and Limiting Distributions
    BM and Martingales
    Cost/Reward Models
    Stochastic Integration
    Stochastic Differential Equations
    Applications to Finance
    Epilogue
    Appendix A: Probability of Events
    Appendix B: Univariate Random Variables
    Appendix C: Multivariate Random Variables
    Appendix D: Generating Functions
    Appendix E: Laplace–Stieltjes Transforms
    Appendix F: Laplace Transforms
    Appendix G: Modes of Convergence
    Appendix H: Results from Analysis
    Appendix I: Difference and Differential Equations
    Answers to Selected Problems
    References
    Index
    Exercises appear at the end of each chapter.

    Author Bio(s)

    Vidyadhar G. Kulkarni is a Norman Johnson Professor in the Department of Statistics and Operations Research at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

    Editorial Reviews

    This book provides insight on the mathematical methods for modelling and understanding real-world processes. … for the teacher, this book provides an abundant resource of examples for class exercises and student homework. The modelling examples include many that would be of interest for advanced undergraduate courses on inventory management, reliability, operations management and queuing networks. … This is a book for the few who would like to know almost everything about stochastic processes and for the many who need to know something, and would like to have their eyes opened to the many models and analytical results available on stochastic processes.
    —J. Smart, Journal of the Operational Research Society, Vol. 62, 2011

    This book is written by a well-experienced scientist and teacher. The material is carefully chosen and presented in a systematic way, starting with the basics and reaching more advanced topics. … It is very useful to see a large number of examples worked out in detail. Thus, besides university courses, the book can be successfully used for self-education. … This book is a good example of how to write on sophisticated topics about stochastic processes without involving the heavy measure theoretic machinery. Another advantage of the book is the application-oriented approach that is followed by the author. … This book can be strongly recommended for introductory, intermediate or advanced university courses on stochastic processes. Both students and their teachers may benefit considerably from it.
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, July 2011

    … an accessible, well paced, and very nicely presented book. The publishers are also to be commended on its nice production: it is the sort of book which is a pleasure to read. In all, it is an excellent textbook for use in introductory courses on stochastic processes.
    International Statistical Review (2010), 78, 3

    This book may be recommended for all readers who want to understand, build and analyse stochastic models and relevant problems.
    Zentralblatt MATH 1191

    Praise for the First Edition:
    … a beautiful introductory textbook on stochastic processes … Plenty of applications, examples, and exercises bring the reader to the intuitive understanding of the subject.
    Zentralblatt MATH

    Well-chosen examples and interesting exercises make this text a good choice for a first course in stochastic processes for a broad class of students.
    Journal of the American Statistical Association

    Downloads Updates


    Resource OS Platform Updated Description Instructions
    Cross Platform June 11, 2010 Link to Errata click on http://www.unc.edu/~vkulkarn/gradcorrections2.pdf

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